Monday, April 1, 2013

The Coming War Against Iran

The Realist Prism: Closing the Window of Opportunity for Iran Diplomacy -- Nikolas Gvosdev, WPR

While American policymakers are fond of repeating the mantra that "all options are on the table" when it comes to dealing with Iran and its nuclear program, the president publicly took one option off the table during his recent visit to Israel: Speaking to college students, Barack Obama reiterated, "Iran must not get a nuclear weapon. This is not a danger that can be contained."

If the Obama administration has indeed definitively rejected containment as an option, the United States will not develop contingencies for if and when Iran crosses the nuclear threshold. That means Washington is now committed to preventing Iran not only from acquiring any sort of deployable nuclear capability, but also, implicitly, from reaching the breakout stage where Tehran would possess the necessary capabilities to quickly assemble a bomb.

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My Comment: I do not see such a conflict happening. The U.S. public and poilitcal mindset is not to get into another 'war of choice' .... especially from this President. So why all the talk and bluster .... I call this U.S. policy based on 'hope and a prayer' .... 'hope' that sanctions will have an impact, and prayer that regime change will happen. As to what is my prediction .... the U.S. and the international community will muddle along, and Iran will continue putting together the building blocks necessary for building nuclear weapons. The wild card in this calculus is .... of course ... Israel.

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