Friday, July 15, 2016

What's My Take On The Coup In Turkey



WNU Editor: This is what I know so far. Martial law has been declared. The military generals appointed by President Erdogan have been arrested. The major broadcasters are now occupied by the military. Social media is now down. The soldiers are everywhere. The major party headquarters for the government are now surrounded by the military. President Erdogan is (apparently) appealing to foreign governments for help. The U.S. and everyone else have been caught by surprise with these developments.

My prediction .... President Erdogan has no friends abroad, and they are not going to get actively involved in helping him. They will stay neutral, and treat this as an internal Turkish affair. The impact on the war against the Islamic State is going to profound. U.S. law is very clear .... U.S. troops cannot stay in a country if a democratic government has been overthrown by a coup. How the U.S. will justify its continuing military presence in Turkey is probably going to be a sight to see in the next few days. For the Syrian rebels .... this is a serious blow. For the Kurds who are now waging war against the Turkish government/military .... they will probably stay back and see what happens next. If President Erdogan is not in custody in the next day or two .... he may have a chance to stay in power, especially if his supporters .... and he has many of them .... hit the streets. But if he is arrested, and the expected demonstrations fizzle out .... he will be out of power.

On a side note .... somewhere in the Kremlin .... Putin is smiling.

16 comments:

James said...

"somewhere in the Kremlin .... Putin is smiling."
Very much so.

Jay Farquharson said...

Turkey had Military Coups in 1960, 71, 80, 93 and 97.

Inclirk kept up operations during all that time.

Anonymous said...

I'm wondering if Erdogans making nice with Russia and more recently Syria had anything to do with it. Was he pressured to make these moves? Is this coup a backlash for those moves or a maybe he didn't move quick enough?

Anonymous said...

I'm sure Angie has a spare bedroom for him.

Chrizzel said...

I dont think merkel welcomes erdogan. They couldnt even visit the german troops last week. This will be some lobg days for the german and american troops and maybe there a still dutch troops. The will prepare for the worst.

Chrizzel said...

I dont think merkel welcomes erdogan. They couldnt even visit the german troops last week. This will be some lobg days for the german and american troops and maybe there a still dutch troops. The will prepare for the worst.

Daniel said...

It looks like he ran away, but where to?

Jay Farquharson said...

The Coup is probably because he didn't "walk back" from his pro-terrorism stance soon enough.

Anonymous said...

Couldn't happen to a nicer POS.

Jay Farquharson said...

So far, Germany turned him down, apparently he's on his way to London.

Young Communist said...

Erdogan is not allowed to plane safely in Germany.
EU in general take no position.
The opposition party leaders are against that coup.
It seem that Erdogan fly to United Kingdom.

Probably someone in the West want to simply substitute him.

Jac said...

"Jay Farquharson said...

Turkey had Military Coups in 1960, 71, 80, 93 and 97.

Inclirk kept up operations during all that time."

You are perfectly right.

If Putin is smiling he is not the only one. Obama and Netanyaou are smiling too....among many other one.

RRH said...

He was a pain in the ass and caused them more trouble than he was worth.

RRH said...

Guess we know what the SAA thinks about it....


http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2016/15-july-saa-troops-celebrate-the-turkish-coup-in-latakia

fazman said...

Latest on aust tv is coup has failed, troops are abandoning armour and positions.

fazman said...

Hes on the way to his office unfortunately