Sunday, September 4, 2016

Is War With China 'Inevitable'?

The People's Republic of China flag and the U.S. Stars and Stripes fly along Pennsylvania Avenue near the U.S. Capitol in Washington during Chinese President Hu Jintao's state visit, January 18, 2011. Credit: Reuters/Hyungwon Kang

Seth Cropsey, Real Clear Politics: Is Naval Conflict With China Inevitable?

This week, President Obama is making his final trip to Asia. With the presidential election looming, it is the right time to reflect on Obama’s foreign policy, and to think about what is to come. A key component of the next president’s foreign policy must be to compel China to respect international law. Otherwise, we may be faced by a conflict with a growing navy at a time when ours is decreasing in size. Obama has not made this imperative any easier.

On July 12 an international tribunal at The Hague found that China possessed neither an historic claim over disputed islands in the South China Sea nor a legal basis for sovereign claims over its waters. On the same day Beijing landed civilian aircraft on two of the three reefs—Subi and Mischief—that China has turned into armed islands. This gives China three working runways in the disputed Spratly Islands the nearest of which is 600 miles from China.

Read more ....

Update: Former Deputy Undersecretary of US Navy Predicts War with China is 'Inevitable' (Sputnik).

WNU Editor: China's goal has always been to be the regional super-power in Asia .... and they have made it very clear in the past few years that they are not going to back down from this objective. Will this inevitably lead to China becoming embroiled in a conflict with one its neighbours .... probably. Will this involve a country that has signed security guarantees with the U.S. .... also probably. Will this mean a possible U.S. - China conflict .... for the moment that is what is probably stopping China from enforcing its territorial demands by using its military .... but as the U.S. role and importance in Asia continues to decline, I expect anything will then be possible.


the objective voice said...

As long as the US has large Naval bases in the region, like the Philippines, Japan, and South Korea, it is unlikely that the US won't decrease it's presence in the area anytime soon. It is running right of navigation runs through the South China sea. As long as that continues, the US is very involved. If a conflict with China was to breakout with Japan or the Philippines, the US will become very much involved. If things go poorly for China, and nuclear weapons aren't used, you could see the region of interested nations join the fight. This would be a decisive defeat and check of China as a regional Super Power. Doubt there would be an invasion, but gourd combat could occur on the Vietnamese border if it joins the fight. It is not an ally of the US, but if it joined this pact against China, the US might be bound to respond with some ground presence. Could you imagine the US Army and Marines defending Hanoi?

RussInSoCal said...

IS war with China inevitable? The nations ringing the China Sea seem to think so.

Jac said...

The weakness of Obama-Chamberlain is the problem.
As Hitler needing "more vital space" for Germans, Xi want more space for Chinese's. And more the democracies are weak and more these dictators are embolden to go farther....until the unavoidable clash.
Bottom line: That's just a matter of time and miscalculation.