Wednesday, July 2, 2008

"The FARC in Transition: The Fatal Weakening of the Hemisphere's Oldest Guerrilla Movement"

In this Monday, June 23, 2008, file photo, one of seven rebels of the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia, FARC, who surrendered to the Army, stands with his face covered at a military base in Cali, Colombia.

From Counter Terrorism Blog:


Today the NEFA Foundation published a paper I wrote on the overall weakening of the FARC in Colombia and the likely options for its future development.

The new paper, "The FARC in Transition: The Fatal Weakening of the Hemisphere's Oldest Guerrilla Movement," is a followup to one I did analyzing the publicly released documents taken from the computer of the FARC's second in command, Raul Reyes, killed by Colombian troops in raid into neighboring Ecuador.

The paper posits that in the near term, the new FARC leadership-for the first time in its 44-year history dominated by urban, educated leaders rather than peasants lacking formal education-will try to launch a major military strike in order to prove its legitimacy to the rank and file.

Read more ....

More News on FARC And Colombia:
Rebels desert as Colombia army advances -- Yahoo News
Rebels Desert as Colombia Army Advances -- ABC News
Colombian military advances spur rebel desertions -- Daily News
European mediators seek out Colombia rebels-source -- Reuters
Building peace -- Financial Times

My Comment: The survivors of FARC will probably end up going into the drug trade. This guerilla movement is dead for now.

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