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The Consequences Of War For Saudi Arabia -- Brian M Downing, Asia Times
Discussion of a possible war between Iran and the coalition aligning against it centers on destroying Iranian nuclear sites and ensuring that oil tankers freely transit the Strait of Hormuz. Countries embarking on war scrutinize as many scenarios and possibilities as they can, but wars invariably present unexpected situations and changes within their borders are seldom anticipated.
Saudi Arabia is a family-ruled, tribal country with an array of tensions over religion, power, succession and foreign relations. Another Gulf war is not expected to be long or require an appreciable number of Saudi forces, nonetheless hostilities will bring significant challenges to the kingdom. After all, not even the victor leaves a war the way it went in.
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My Comment: The history (and consequences) of war in the Middle East has always been one of changes in governments and alliances. As a result .... a war against Iran would be a crossing of red lines that would all but insure continuous warfare and terrorism coupled with internal unrest throughout the region. The biggest impact will be on the social system of government subsidies and welfare that many who live in the region are dependent on .... war will mean a shift from these subsidies to military and security expenditures .... an action that will not only bring "hurt" to both sides in such a conflict, but massive unrest and civil disobedience.
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