Thursday, June 27, 2013

Israel Disputes Western Intelligence Reports That Assad Has Regained The Momentum In The Syrian Civil War

Israel Disputes Western View That Syrian Civil War Has Swung Assad's Way -- Haaretz

Senior Israeli security official says that Hezbollah's entry into fighting has backfired badly.

Israel does not share Western intelligence assessments that the victory of the Assad regime in Qusayr was a turning point in its favor in the Syrian civil war, a senior security official told Haaretz on Wednesday.

The source said President Bashar Assad cannot swing the balance to his side in the conflict since he and the rebels have reached a stalemate, and neither side has the military strength to prevail.

A Syrian human rights group said Wednesday the number of people killed in the civil war is now more than 100,000.

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My Comment: I have been following the Syrian civil war closely for the past two years .... and I also do not see a major shift in favor of Assad after his victory in Qusayr. If anything .... he and his Hezbollah allies have suffered horrible casualties that I am sure is now giving their commanders pause on what should be their next offensive. In short .... when you lose 600 men to conquer a small but strategically located town .... you have to wonder how many men can you spare to then target the hundreds of strategically located towns that are in control of the rebels. And for a large target like the city of Aleppo .... that battle will only be a meat-grinder for what is left of the Syrian army and Hezbollah forces.

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