Ukraine Crisis: Is War Inevitable? -- Jonathan Marcus, BBC
Tensions are rising. The rhetorical brinkmanship is escalating.
Some 40,000 Russian troops remain massed on Ukraine's border. Military drills are under way. And the Ukrainian authorities have deployed troops themselves to try to take back control over eastern towns where buildings have been seized by pro-Russian elements.
The diplomatic battle is escalating, too, with the US laying the blame squarely on Russia for the failure to implement last week's Geneva deal. More economic sanctions loom just as Moscow insists that it may have to act to defend "Russians" who are under threat from the Ukrainian security forces.
So under all these circumstances, is war inevitable?
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My Comment: The month of May is going to determine where this crisis is going to go .... my prediction .... a new government in Kiev after this month's election will change the situation significantly .... or (at least) that is the hope.
I would say that it will depend upon the pro Russian forces after the election, if they will give up the dream of joining Russia or they will accept the new government.
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