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Jeremy Bender, Business Insider: Here are all of the problems with the reeling Syrian army
The Syrian Army is facing its most serious challenges since the start of the Syrian Civil War.
Fatigued, over-stretched, and losing the support of its base constituency, the Syrian Army is conceivably nearing the point of collapse. Major rebel offenses have taken control of the strategic cities of Idlib and Jisr al-Shegour in the north. Meanwhile, a second rebel offensive in the south has been steadily working its way towards Damascus, the capital.
These steady rebel gains have demoralized the Syrian military, created fissures within the regime of president Bashar al-Assad, and force Damascus to accept greater foreign assistance in propping an ailing government, according to an April 30th New York Times report.
Here's why the regime may be nearing its most serious crisis yet.
WNU Editor: All of the reasons listed in the above post are valid .... but I still believe that it we are far away from the Syrian military actually collapsing. But the trend is now definitely going against Syrian President Assad .... and even U.S. officials are now raising concerns on what is happening .... Rebel Gains in Syria Are Cause for U.S. Concern: Military and Diplomatic Implications (Mark Pomerleau, Epoch Times).
how in heck are they allowing rebels to be south of donestk its likely only iran and hezbollah can save syria along eit russia ammo n armour suppplies very dangerous now if continues with loss of more ground wot will iran do as they cant afford to lose syria
ReplyDeletesorry i meant to say damascus getn my wars mixed up
ReplyDeletesorry i meant to say damascus getn my wars mixed up
ReplyDelete"they" arn't allowing "rebels" south of Damacus.
ReplyDeleteLast year, a large body of AL Nusra terrorists, were "transferred"'from Turkey, to Jordan, where they were retrained and re-armed, crossed the Jordanian Border and attacked towards Damacus.
Everytime the Syrian Arab Army puts together forces to counterattack and drive them out, Israel either bombs them or shells them.
Just like this spring's problem for the Syrian Arab Army, is new freshly trained and armed Jihadists attacking from Turkey, with command and control out of Turkey, with the possible involvement of Turkish Special Forces.
Who moved the Al Nusrah terrorists and who trained them?
ReplyDeleteSo Turkey is working with Jordan.
I am not sure this is in Jordan's best interest. An Al Nusrah victorious in Syria would make short work of Jordan I think. There were many people sympathetic with Al Qaeda or ISIS in Ma'an.
Jordan crushed Black September but it was a long time ago and Al Nusrah is tougher than the PLO I think.
WNU,
Would Russian combat troops get involved if Hezbollah and the SAA needed help?
Anzino,
DeleteThere has already been one ISIS "uprising" in Jordan,
Several support "cells" have been "arrested" in Turkey for deviating from the script,
Al Nusra still controls Arsal and 1/3 of Tripoli in Lebanon.
There is longstanding hubris amongst the Military/Intelligence/Political leadership that once they create, arm and train these Jihadi's they can control them through funding and arms.
The reality is most of these groups quickly break free of the funding chains through looting and criminal enterprises, and the arms don't stay where they are sent, ( eg. The Chinese M-16 clones from South Sudan, turing up in Northern Iraq).
The Mossad created and funded Hamas to go after the PLO, how well did that work out?
The ISI created the Taliban, how well has that worked out?
NATO armed and trained the Misrata boys and 4 months later Bengazi.
Russian intelligence officers are in Syria .... but combat troops .... I doubt it.
ReplyDeleteI thought the might have been some Russian radar operators captured or killed when a important radar site in the Golan heights area was captured and destroyed. I don't remember the name for the site or type of radar.
ReplyDeleteMaybe it was the site that controlled the SA5s.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/syria/air-defense.htm
"Would Russian combat troops get involved if Hezbollah and the SAA needed help?"
ReplyDeleteNo.
I thought Russian troops might have been involved 2 or 3 years ago when Russian navy ships were moving in & out of Tartus.
ReplyDeleteThat was just evacuation of Russian civilians it seems.
Maybe Putin could teach Obama how to evacuate civilians?
If he had a few decades and was very, very patient.
I had hear about Israel creating Hamas & the ISI creating the Taliban.
ReplyDelete"The reality is most of these groups quickly break free of the funding chains through looting and criminal enterprises, and the arms don't stay where they are sent"
The Counter Terrorism Center in West Point covered the nexus of organize crime and terrorism 2 or 3 years ago.
I have not read this articles below, but another one that I can't find right now. It discussed the organized crime and terrorists working in general, which is counter intuitive to what most people think. They are of the opinion that organized crime syndicates want to keep a low profile and so would not consort with terrorists. The CTC article concluded the opposite was true.
In Iraq there was a lot of car smuggling among other things.
https://www.ctc.usma.edu/posts/risky-business-the-global-threat-network-and-the-politics-of-contraband
https://www.ctc.usma.edu/posts/crime-and-insurgency-in-the-tribal-areas-of-afghanistan-and-pakistan
Most people would regard the 1980s Afghan war a success until recently. Except in 1989 to 1991 we packed up our bags and left, because we do not do nation building.
If we had stayed we would have had to fight Russia, China, Iran and Pakistan.
China and Pakistan and been our allies during the 1980s war.
The Us supported guerillas in Tibet & I think Ukrainians in the 1950s.