© Jonathan Ernst / Reuters
Washington Times: Russia election meddling controversy swinging past voters in swing states
With new revelations every week, the Russian election meddling story has made Washington dizzy for months, but pollsters in swing states are having a hard time seeing its impact beyond the Beltway — leaving forecasters of the midterm elections torn over the story’s potential impact.
“There is some bubble syndrome,” pollster Brad Coker of Mason-Dixon Polling and Research told The Washington Times.
Mr. Coker’s firm conducted significant polling in swing states during election season last year. Like other leading public opinion professionals, he argues that the murkiness of Russian activity and the lack of a clear “smoking gun” have not convinced voters far from the nation’s capital — especially the unaffiliated.
But pollsters also note that history favors Democrats — at least in the House of Representatives.
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WNU Editor: Months of allegations and speculations .... 24/7 news coverage .... leaks and accusations .... the appointment of a Special Counsel .... but in the end no one can point to a legal statute that has been violated that can bring a person to trial .... Dershowitz: Ruling shows I'm right on Trump and corruption (Alan Dershowitz, The Hill). Even today's news where the 8th person has been identified in that short meeting with Donald Trump Jr. has not created the stir that some were hoping for (hat tip to Fred for this link) .... Revealed: Mystery 8th man at Don Jr meeting is Russian finance expert accused by Congress of being part of $1.4 BILLION 'money laundering' scheme (Daily Mail). Who knows ... maybe Special Counsel Robert Mueller has evidence of crimes that involves the Trumps or campaign associates .... and he will be recommending indictments over time .... but for now many voters are not impressed, especially those who make up President Trump's base.
Update: Yes .... I am aware of recent polls (i.e. ABC/Washington Post, etc.) that show President Trump's approval ratings slipping .... but when I looked at their methodology, they are doing the same thing as they did last year .... under-sampling Republican voters, over-sampling Democrats, and focusing their sample primarily in the New York city/Washington/L.A. regions.
Update #2: The ones who should be worried are these guys and gals, because they have discarded their base this week .... Why the GOP Congress will be the most unproductive in 164 years (The Week).
Conservative voters will not elect a Democrat over a Republican.
ReplyDeletePerhaps some will sit out.
If 2018 sees Republican gains and 2020 also, expect to see the slacker be primaried or even recalled voted.
Scott Walker faced 2 recall elections. The Democrats failed, but they taught us some things.
Recall votes will become a thing.
RINOs should be shaking in their boots.