Sunday, August 6, 2017

Does Turkey's Syrian Strategy Make Any Sense?

US-led coalition military advisers are already assisting YPG fighters in Syria. BBC

Burak Kadercan, War On The Rocks: Making Sense Of Turkey's Strategy: A 'Turkish Tragedy In the Making'

Following Turkish foreign policy has never been more exciting and terrifying. With its ever-increasing footprint in Syria, Turkey is now a full-fledged party to the civil war. The risks associated with the Turkish presence are multi-faceted. Incursions into Syria can trigger not only a direct war between Turkey and whatever is left of the Assad regime, but an indirect one with Iran and possibly Russia.

The more likely scenario involves Turkey in open conflict (not only occasional shelling and air strikes) with the People’s Protection Units (YPG, sometimes referred to as PYD, its political arm)), the Syrian Kurdish militant group with organic ties to Turkey’s arch-nemesis the Kurdish Workers Party (PKK). Such a contingency would not only complicate the already convoluted Syrian conflict, but also spread the Syrian civil war to Turkey, and even Iraq, where the PKK established a strong presence in the strategic Sinjar province.

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1 comment:

  1. If we have any nukes at Incirlik, we'd best be getting them out of there soon.

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