Commentaries, Analysis, And Editorials -- November 30, 2017

Harry J. Kazianis & Daniel L. Davis, National Interest: North Korea's Next Move (That Could Start a War): An Atmospheric Nuclear Test?

How Pyongyang's next move could spark what can only be described as a disaster.

For logical and traceable reasons, the chances of war on the Korean peninsula have moved beyond “possible” and now solidly into “likely” territory. The combined actions, decisions, and positions of Presidents George W. Bush, Obama, and Trump, along with North Korean dictators Kim Il-sung, Kim Jong-il and Kim Jong-un, have perversely created a no-win situation in which war may now be unavoidable––a tragic and avoidable situation for which hundreds of thousands or millions of Americans, South Koreas, and Japanese may pay with their lives.

With the adoption of a rational policy, however, American security can be assured, and war avoided.

Read more ....

 Commentaries, Analysis, And Editorials -- November 30, 2017

Give Up on Stopping North Korea -- Eli Lake, Bloomberg

There Have to Be Consequences For China -- By Joseph Bosco, RCW

China's military rise erodes American leadership in Asia -- Denny Roy, The Hill

Will Israel launch pre-emptive strike against Assad? -- Ben Caspit, Al-Monitor

Iran Reshapes the Middle East -- George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures

America lacks a coherent plan to counter Tehran's regional influence -- Michael Young, The National

Analysis: Israel zigzags on Iranian bases in Syria to give Russia room -- Seth J. Frantzman, Jerusalem Post

Kenya deeply divided -- Martina Schwikowski, DW

What can Kenya expect from Kenyatta's second term? -- Nanjala Nyabolaby, Al Jazeera

High-Technology Set to Dominate Russia’s Rearmament Program -- Roger McDermott, RCW/Eurasia Daily Monitor

Don't call Putin a genius -- Josh Cohen, Reuters

The US sanctions bill is a timebomb for Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin -- Natalie Nougayrède, The Guardian

Another Angela Merkel-led grand coalition in Germany: What you need to know -- Jefferson Chase, DW

Cash crunch: how Venezuela inadvertently became a cashless economy -- John Otis, The Guardian

The Blockchain Is Bigger Than Any Bubble -- Bloomberg editorial