A Chinese military expert recently suggested testing American willpower in the South China Sea by sinking a pair of aircraft carriers, such as the USS Ronald Reagan, shown here Aug. 31, 2018. KAILA V. PETERS/U.S. NAVY
Stars and Stripes: Many Chinese think Americans lack resolve to prevail in battle, expert says
Too many in China think the United States will cut and run if war breaks out in the Far East, a U.S. defense expert warned Wednesday in response to threats by a Chinese war hawk.
“A far larger number of Chinese believe it than I think is healthy,” said Brad Glosserman, a China expert and visiting professor at Tokyo’s Tama University.
Glosserman was responding to comments by Chinese Rear Adm. Lou Yuan, who told an audience in Shenzhen last month that sinking a pair of U.S. aircraft carriers would settle issues of sovereignty in the South China Sea, according to the News Corp Australia network.
China has strengthened its grip on the disputed territory in recent years, moving military equipment onto artificial islands and harassing aircraft and ships passing through the area.
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WNU Editor: This Chinese mindset that Americans do not have the will to fight has only been prevalent for the past decade. I certainly never detected it in the 1980s/90s when I was living and travelling there, and it was never voiced before 2010. What happened between then and now .... your guess is as good as mine. But today the Chinese are incredibly aggressive, with the altitude that it is my way or the highway.
China doesn’t have the resources to sustain a prolonged conflict with allies. The civilian population would suffer immensely and a war would quickly become unfavourable. Target the fishing boats and let them starve.
ReplyDeleteThis is a major misreading of the American public. Whether or not the US could win a given war is an excellent topic for discussion, but a separate one.
ReplyDeleteI agree. I've traveled to 30 or so countries including the US and China many times. It is China's resolve that is untested actually. It is they who are bombarded with Chinese propaganda - especially in movies these days, all glorifying a mighty China. .incredibly patriotic movies in which China always wins-obviously. But. Knowing both, Chinese and Americans, including US military personnel, I think the Chinese are way off. Chinese look at US TV a lot. Like A LOT. And it started back in the days when they lived watching Dallas and other old US TV shows. Much of their life style is modeled around western culture now. The clothes they wear, the things they want. The tech they use ..everything very similar to the US. And they're incredibly proud now. After 30 years of record growth, who wouldn't be. But. .the common Chinese man doesn't know that much of it is smoke and mirrors. They don't know how deadly American and NATO forced combined are. They know little about how they are surrounded by countries who hate them. From Vietnam who they almost bullied into war 2 years ago, to Japan, to India. Those guys alone would giveChina a very hard time and they're itching for settling different scores with China. If you then add on top the US and NATO ..you realise how isolated China is. And as I said many times here on this blog before, the Chinese are excellent at smoke and mirrors..but essentially you have 300 million who live at almost European levels, especially in Shanghai, Beijing, Tanjin etc..but the rest is like at eastern European levels, making maybe 15000usd a year. And this was at the very top of their economic height about 2 years ago. Then we found out that up to 30% of their GDP was inflated. Means China - as many traders and insiders expected is much poorer than it tries to portray .it's using the same shiny cities approach that you see all over Asia and the middle east. A few awesome cities, the rest is pretty poor. So china's GDP is about 4 times or less than that of Germany. But Germany does it with less than 8% of the people. China needs 1.5bn for about 9 trillion GDP. Germany will soon be close to 3 trillion. With 80 million or so people. Means you have incredible inefficiencies in China. And now you have their economy contracting. And we know about the housing bubble there with about a trillion in buildings with no housing codes built during the rush that are almost worthless but still swapped in ever shadier deals. International companies after leaving left and right. Major deals (like Google couple weeks back are falling apart as our own populations are finally waking up to the human violations from torture to concentration camps over there. But, as networks like CNN chose to still rake in the Chinese money to promote ads showing shiny cities and tourist destinations, this is still somewhat a slow process. But we're getting there. China's biggest problem is they are surrounded by enemies they made, have zero chance to win against them and the US and NATO, have almost no battle experience etc. So Trump on this subject sees exactly what's what. He's been to China for sure and knows the game they play. If you fall for Chinese shows and illusions, like portrayed on CNN, you're part of the problem. Do not spend money on Chinese goods. They are currently and truly the biggest human rights violator and aggressor on this planet. United we must stand, and a Chinese century will not come, as it already looks like it due to the many mistakes Xi and the Chinese party made. Fall for it-and that's why I hate CNN because for years they pushed that regimes agenda on us, and they have a (small but still possible) chance to overtake the west. It's up to us to lose really
DeleteThe Kaiser once thought the Americans were too fragile to fight in the WWI trenches. Hitler said it too in 1940. Tojo said it in 1941.
ReplyDeleteMao said it in 1951.
I believe Saddam said it in 1991.
Conceited people drunk on their own legendary mental abilities.
I didn't remember that Pearl Harbor or 9/11 attack make America "cut and run". That's exactly the opposite!
ReplyDeleteThe Chinese military state of mind is exactly the same as the Japanese's one which brings Pearl Harbor. Yes, an attack surprise on Taiwan or in the South China Sea could make China winning, but... what next?
The Chinese think they know Americans. They don't. 99% of Chinese who live in the US and report back are concentrated in the east and west coast cities. None of them ever lives in the midwest or upper north east. It's not all sushi and apple products like in SF. On top, the visuals would be devastating to China. Think of it. China is an ethno state. Almost 100% Chinese. Look at their army parades. You won't find a blond person, a Caucasian or black. Very rare in China and even less common in their militaries. So on one side you'd have the USA - the shining example of a mixed race state-representing all of mankind-with people living their from literally all over the world and immigrated to there historically with deep ties to Europe, and when those images go around the world of Chinese and Americans clashing, the world will side with the US instinctively. 10 years ago I knew many in Asia who were racing to learn Chinese. Now the trend stopped almost completely. All trends point to a win for the west now. And this is while our populations are still not informed fully about the threat we face. We are in a war with China for more than 30 years now. They've plundered and hacked trillions from us. There's the cultural and information war going on already. But..our weakness is easy division - at least in the surface. Because we fight so openly on TV. But once people wake up more and more, you'll see Chinese population realising the hype they were fed by their leaders isn't true and they'll be OK to fall in line. If not, and our populations are kept in this state of distraction (Russia Russia), then things will be different. The gloves must come off and I applaud Trump for not kicking down the bucket on this most important issue (yes, Russia is a threa too, but Chinese population is like 15 times that of Russia).
DeleteEveryone is missing the image of hundreds of “princelings“ coming home in body bags. The one child policy will be devastating to them. Nothing hurts more than losing a child.
ReplyDelete