Biden is ahead in polls, early voting and cash on hand a week from Election Day. So why does everything feel so anxious and chaotic?
As we careen toward Election Day, as much as I want to listen to the data, I can't let myself stop obsessing over all of the unknowns that lurk between now and then.
By most tangible measures, former Vice President Joe Biden is in the final countdown to an electoral win, seeming to condemn President Donald Trump to a single term. National polling has been almost eerily consistent since Biden sewed up the Democratic nomination. As of Monday, the latest NBC News National Polling Average showed that Biden holds a 7.4 percentage-point lead over Trump — 51.3 percent to 43.9 percent.
National polls can be misleading, though — a fact that still lingers like a bruise on the amygdala from four years ago. Zooming in on the battleground states, though, the tightening we saw in Trump's race against Hillary Clinton just isn't at play here. In states that are necessities for Trump, it's hard to see the gaps closing. According to the RealClearPolitics average, we're seeing Biden up by 8.1 points in Michigan, by 5.4 points in Wisconsin and by 6.0 points in Minnesota. Those states — paired with Pennsylvania, where he's up 4.8 — are enough to push Biden over the edge if the rest of the map remains the same from 2016. Biden, in a bit of confidence that some might call hubristic, declared on Monday that he'd win all three Midwest must-wins.
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WNU Editor: My brother is a progressive Democrat living in the Bay area south of San Francisco, and he is 100% confident that Joe Biden will be winning in a landslide. And I can understand why because he is reading this .... Biden’s Path to 270 Widens, Trump’s Path Narrows, as Texas Moves to Toss Up (Cook Political Report), and this .... Biden headed for historic margin in California, poll shows (L.A. Times), and here .... COVID surge hurts Trump in Wisconsin; Biden leads in a closer Michigan contest: Poll (ABC News), and here .... Democrats see signs of hidden Biden voters flipping from GOP (The Hill).
But he admits that his anxiety levels are through the roof because I am always telling him things like this .... Another Pollster Sees a Trump Win (National Review), and this .... Don't believe the polls — Trump is winning (The Hill).
My brother asked me on where do I get my intel on the mood of the US electorate. I gave him my list and I have listed it below:
The Trafalgar Group (Twitter feed). Their polls are showing President Trump in the lead in key battleground states.
IBD/TIPP Presidential Poll. Their poll is showing a 4.5% national lead for Joe Biden. But this lead is less than what Hillary Clinton had in 2016 at this point in the campaign.
Daily Presidential Tracking Poll (Rasmussen). Today's numbers .... 52% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Forty-seven percent (47%) disapprove.
White House Watch (Rasmussen). Today's numbers .... Trump 48%, Biden 47%
IBD/TIPP Presidential Poll link has been fixed.
ReplyDeleteThe polls lie. There are more riots and looting in Democrat-controlled Philadelphia. People are sick of Antifa, BLM rioters and Democrats. Trump will win.
ReplyDelete"Biden headed for historic margin in California, poll shows (L.A. Times)"
ReplyDeleteCalifornia is a one party socialist state. Republicans are a minority. they are out numbered in elected office by 2 to 1 or 3 to 1. they cannot affect legislation.
Illegals can vote in elections and 1 to 3 million of them do.
If Democrats win, I'll behave line my communist spouse. I'll smile a lot and keep my mouth shut. I'll not behave like my spouse in other ways. Anger can be expressed by omission.
I remember my spouse walking by the Big guy's compound. The anger. The lack of words. Seething. They grew up just a few blocks away. Where the media Mogul was planning to build his compound.
The polls and media lie, have been caught lying, have been caught cheating and abiding. They're scum. Just look at Biden events. He barely draws 50 people. Despite Cher and Obama going on stage for him. Watch the Cher video.. ridiculous.. failed stars who believe the people will fall for these lies and election interference. Liars. Thugs. Criminals.
ReplyDeleteI really want to know why Obama , who didn't think much of Biden, and didn't support his run for the longest time ,NOW SUDDENLY comes out for him and this sinking ship of a Democrat, filthy corrupt, treasonous party.
The people won't have it. They have eyes. Only the morons who don't go outside or only watch CNN believe in a Biden landslide. They will be upset when they lose and the media is DIRECTLY responsible for large scale voter suppression, faked polls, disinformation and smear campaigns. I hope class action lawsuits will be filed against CNN,NYTIMES,WAPO and the MSNBC,NPR liars. The FBI needs to investigate them and their motives. How many more in the Democrat party have colluded with foreign powers? We know about BidenInc thanks to Fox news, which is not perfect by any means but at least they have reported on it and called witnesses. The rest is involved in a cover up of epic proportions and they need to be held accountable for this election interference
You better put your brother on suicide watch, starting next week.
ReplyDelete