Vessels in the Taiwan Straits, July 20, 2017. Photo:CGTN
Global Times: Why US will lose a war with China over Taiwan island
It would seem to some that a US war with China over the island of Taiwan appears imminent.
Considering the congestion of hostile forces in, above, and below the Taiwan Straits and South China Sea, conflict could explode by accident or design. Once blood is drawn, the US will have few options. If the US elects to fight China over the island of Taiwan, then it will lose.
Taiwan's ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) independence hubris is fueled by US cabinet-level China hawks and Congress' bipartisan, bicameral Taiwan Caucus. The DPP has rejected political reunification in one China and dismissed the "one country, two systems" model under which both Taiwan and Hong Kong have gotten rich. Encouraged by US trivialization of the three joint communiqués, the DPP parades a sense of entitlement, taking for granted an umbrella of protection with full knowledge of the dire consequences for the US
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Update: South China Sea: Beijing warns US ‘will lose’ fight once ‘blood is drawn’ as tensions soar (Daily Express)
WNU Editor: The person who wrote the above opinion post for the Global Times is a retired Marine Corps infantry officer who now serves as a US civil servant in the Pentagon!!!!!
Bell curve and he is on one side that seems defeatist or realist.
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He is trying to drum up support back home for increased budgets.
The West deserves to lose against China.
ReplyDelete"MI6 Head Explains the Focus of British Espionage Against China is Climate Change"
MI6's main efforts are at pleasing Obama with the Chris Steale Dossier and Checking on CO2 emission by China.
Pathetic Liberal Claptrap
This is just silly talk. Once CCP amphibious units cross the halfway line to Taiwan proper those CCP forces will be destroyed by every means available to the U.S. and its allies, which are vast. There is no possibility that meaningful CCP forces could even reach a beach, must less subjugate the population in Taiwan. There are trillions of dollars in infrastructure and human knowledge in Taiwan that will be protected by the U.S. and allies through an existential fight if pushed.
ReplyDeleteEvery time you read a story about how there might be a major conflict in east Asia think of this comment. Because there isn't a major conflict there now. And the reason that there is no real conflict now or in the near future is explained above -- China cannot win through conflict today or tomorrow and they know that, or they would have invaded yesterday.
The CCP could win through intimidation instead, which is what they are actually doing now. So the appropriate policy for today is to stand with the people of Taiwan, and let the CCP know that U.S. and allied forces are prepared to punch the CCP in the nose if they get rambunctious.
Just exactly what I think, China will only have a single choice, just be friendly and continue to be progressive.
DeleteJust exactly what I think, China will only have a single choice, just be friendly and continue to be progressive.
DeleteInteresting article. I wish he would reveal his name. It would be good to have a debate on this and other foreign policy issues.
ReplyDeleteThe other article on this blog about a blockade is very interesting.
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