Commentaries, Analysis, And Editorials -- January 31, 2022

 

The Economist: A war in Ukraine could have global consequences 

Human suffering, economic shock and a geopolitical realignment SELDOM IN THE field of human conflict did so much hang on the whims of one man. 

Is Vladimir Putin about to invade Ukraine, as the massing Russian troops on its borders suggest? Or is he bluffing, to extort concessions from his neighbour and the West? 

No one can be sure of Mr Putin’s intentions. 

Even his own foreign minister seems to be kept guessing. 

But, if fighting is about to break out, the world needs to understand the stakes. 

Read more .... 

Commentaries, Analysis, And Editorials -- January 31, 2022 

NATO's on notice in Ukraine crisis: What's next? -- Teri Schultz, DW  

The Russia-Ukraine Crisis Need Not Spiral Into War -- Thomas Graham and Rajan Menon, Breaking Defense 

The case of Ukraine, looking back and looking forward -- Robbin Laird, Breaking Defense  

Putin’s Wager in Russia’s Standoff with the West -- Michael Kofman, War On The Rocks  

Can the UN Security Council do more than just talk about the Russia, Ukraine crisis? -- ABC News Australia  

Putin’s NATO power play stirs disquiet among Russia’s security elite -- Kyle Wilson, The Strategist  

Hungary's Viktor Orban eyes favors from Vladimir Putin amid Ukraine crisis -- Priyanka Shankar, DW

How China Views the Ukraine Crisis -- Minxin Pei, The Strategist

China’s Real Challenge Is Not Military -- National Interest  

Deterring Eastern Storms -- Keith B. Payne, RCD 

Is it Time for the U.S. to Engage with the Taliban? -- James Durso, SLDinfo  

After Oslo talks, what’s next for Afghanistan? -- Asad Hashim and Mohsin Khan Momand, Al Jazeera  

Myanmar: What has been happening since the 2021 coup? -- BBC  

Why democracy in Africa needs a rethink -- Abu-Bakarr Jalloh, DW  

Tigray conflict: What do we know about drone strikes in Ethiopia? -- Peter Mwai, BBC  

Why lockdown parties in Downing Street are such a big deal -- Analysis by Rob Picheta, CNN  

How Realpolitik 2.0 Can Prevent a Global Conflict -- L. Gibson & E. Elkins, The Diplomat