Tuesday, September 27, 2022

Is China's Window Of Opportunity Closing On Taiwan?

Julian Spencer-Churchill, National Interest: China’s Closing Window of Opportunity on Taiwan  

Xi Jinping must make his move within a generation, before a growing India, climate change-induced ecological costs, demographic weakness, or even further political liberalization in China put Taiwan beyond reach. 

The policy of strategic ambiguity maintained by the United States vis-à-vis the status of Taiwan is an absurdity that has lost its initially intended purpose of drawing Communist China away from the Soviet Union. It is not a subtle declaration, as its proponents in the U.S. government claim, intended to preserve peace because it appeals to some imagined political equilibrium. Taiwan has all of the desirable properties of a country that deserves the close protection of allies: it is a very liberal democracy, a key component of the world’s economic system, and a geostrategic cork against Communist China’s easy access to the Pacific Ocean.  

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WNU Editor: I know among my friends in China they have a different point of view. That time is on China's side when it comes to Taiwan. And I can understand this logic. 

Public opinion polls in Taiwan have always shown a certain level of support for closer ties, even reunification, with China .... Taiwan Opinion Polling on Unification with China (Jamestown /Foundation). As China continues to grow in influence and power, coupled with a more stable geopolitical environment, I can see a scenario where both countries will develop closer ties without Chinese military threats and coercion. It will take, but the Chinese are always looking at the long game.

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