Sunday, January 29, 2023

Senior Republican Says Odds 'Very High' Of U.S. Military Conflict With China


Reuters: Odds 'very high' of U.S. military conflict with China, top Republican says 

WASHINGTON (Reuters) -A top Republican in the U.S. Congress on Sunday said the odds of conflict with China over Taiwan "are very high," after a U.S. general caused consternation with a memo that warned that the United States would fight China in the next two years. 

In a memo dated Feb. 1 but released on Friday, General Mike Minihan, who heads the Air Mobility Command, wrote to the leadership of its roughly 110,000 members, saying, "My gut tells me we will fight in 2025." 

"I hope he is wrong. ... I think he is right though," Mike McCaul, the new chairman of the Foreign Affairs Committee in the U.S. House of Representatives, told Fox News Sunday.  

Read more ....  

Update #1: McCaul: Odds of conflict with China and Taiwan ‘very high’ with Biden in White House (The Hill)  

Update #2: ‘Very high’ odds of war with China, US Republican warns (Al Jazeera)  

WNU Editor: Rep. Michael McCaul, R-Texas, is not aone in making this prediction .... U.S. Air Force General Predicts War With China In 2025 (January 28, 2023).

Russian Military Escalates Attacks On The Bakhmut Area

DNYUZ/New York Times: Russia and Ukraine Battle for Control of Villages Near the Key City of Bakhmut 

Russian forces were wrestling for control of villages in eastern Ukraine near the beleaguered city of Bakhmut over the weekend, the latest flash point in a battle that Moscow views as crucial for its push to seize the whole of the eastern region of Donbas. 

Ukraine’s general staff said on Sunday that its soldiers had repelled attacks on the small village of Blahodatne and several other settlements in the area. The statement came a day after Russia’s Wagner group, a private military company that has conducted much of the fighting around Bakhmut on Moscow’s behalf, claimed that its forces had captured Blahodatne. “Blahodatne is under our control,” Yevgeny Prigozhin, a Russian businessman and the head of the Wagner group, said on Saturday in a statement posted on a website for one of his companies. 

Russia’s defense ministry has not confirmed the report and the claim could not be independently verified. Mr. Prigozhin has sought to cast his mercenaries as the most effective fighting force in the area and previously has claimed credit for battlefield advances ahead of Kremlin confirmation.  

Read more ....  

WNU Editor: There are numerous reports on social media that Ukraine will be withdrawing their forces from Bakhmut. Apparently Russian forces are on the verge of operationally encircling this major city, an encirclement that US officials say will be a disaster for the Ukraine military if they continue to stay in Bakhmut.

Russian Military Escalates Attacks On The Bakhmut Area  

Ukraine says it repels attack around Blahodatne while Russia’s Wagner claims control -- CNBC/Reuters  

Russia Escalates Attack on Bakhmut Area as Kyiv Warns New Offensive Is Imminent -- WSJ  

Fierce fighting reported in Ukraine's Donetsk region -- RTE 

Russia, Ukraine Make Conflicting Claims on Control of Donetsk Region Village -- VOA 

"Russians Are Approaching": Ukraine Town Evacuates Amid Rising Attacks -- AFP  

At Ukraine front, embattled Bakhmut residents desperate for water -- France 24

Former UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson Says Putin Threatened To Kill Him 'With A Missile' Just Before The Invasion


The Guardian: Boris Johnson says Putin claimed he could send missile to hit UK ‘in a minute’ 

Former prime minister’s comments about call to Russian president just before invasion come in new BBC documentary Boris Johnson has said that Vladimir Putin claimed he could have sent a missile to hit Britain “within a minute”, in a call just before the invasion of Ukraine. 

The former prime minister’s comments came in a three-part documentary for BBC Two looking at the conflict in Ukraine and the lead up to Russia’s invasion in February last year.

It had been in a conversation about hypothetical support for Nato on Russia’s borders if Putin decided to invade, as Johnson tried to talk Putin down.  

Read more .... 

Former UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson Says Putin Threatened To Kill Him 'With A Missile' Just Before The Invasion  

Ukraine: Boris Johnson says Putin threatened him with missile strike -- BBC 

Boris Johnson claims Vladimir Putin threatened to kill him with missile in call ahead of Russian invasion of Ukraine -- SKY News

Boris Johnson: Putin threatened to lob missile at me -- AFP  

Vladimir Putin's 'threat to kill Boris Johnson' in run-up to Ukraine war -- Daily Mail  

Vladimir Putin threatened he could kill me with a missile attack, reveals Boris Johnson in hard-hitting new BBC series -- The SUN  

Boris Johnson says Vladimir Putin threatened to kill him 'with a missile' -- The Telegraph

NATO Military Chief Says The Alliance Is "Ready" For A Direct Confrontation With Russia


Newsweek: NATO Official Says Alliance 'Ready' for Direct Confrontation With Russia 

Rob Bauer, chairman of NATO's Military Committee, recently said that the alliance is "ready" for a direct confrontation with Russia as the country continues to fight in Ukraine. 

Bauer, an admiral in the Royal Netherlands Navy, told a Portuguese television channel, RTP, that NATO is focused on rearmament as Russian President Vladimir Putin's strategic objectives go beyond Ukraine and could possibly expand to neighboring countries. 

The chairman, who is reportedly advocating "peacetime war economy," added that it is important for NATO nations to direct civil industrial production towards military objectives.  

Read more ....  

WNU Editor: NATO's Military chief also believes the alliance should shift to a "war economy" .... NATO allies should shift to “war economy” - military committee chief (Ukrinform).

 NATO Military Chief Says The Alliance Is "Ready" For A Direct Confrontation With Russia  

NATO Military Chair Declares Alliance Is Ready For Direct Confrontation With Russia -- Republic World

Top NATO official says Alliance ready for direct confrontation with Russia -- Ukrayinska Pravda  

NATO ready for clash with Russia – top official -- RT  

NATO ready for direct confrontation with Russia — official -- TASS  

NATO Official Says Alliance Is ‘Ready’ for Direct Confrontation With Russia --

Russia - Ukraine War: Military Summary And Analysis For 29.1.2023 (Video)


WNU Editor: A lot updates on the Russia - Ukraine war from the Military Summary channel. It looks like Ukrainian forces are about to abandon Bakhmut. Alexander Mercouris gives his update on the war below. 


Tweets On The Russia - Ukraine War

Tweets Of The Day

A Sobering Report On The Sad State Of The German Military (Video)

WNU Editor: The German defense budget is one of the biggest in the world. You have to wonder where is all the money going. Salaries and pensions I guess.

Is The West Prepared To Fight An All-Out War With Russia, Regionally Or Globally?

Ukrainian members of the military fire an anti-aircraft weapon, in the frontline city of Bakhmut, Ukraine, January 10. REUTERS/Clodagh Kilcoyne  

Douglas Macgregor, American Conservative: This Time It’s Different 

Neither we nor our allies are prepared to fight all-out war with Russia, regionally or globally. 

Until it decided to confront Moscow with an existential military threat in Ukraine, Washington confined the use of American military power to conflicts that Americans could afford to lose, wars with weak opponents in the developing world from Saigon to Baghdad that did not present an existential threat to U.S. forces or American territory. This time—a proxy war with Russia—is different. 

Contrary to early Beltway hopes and expectations, Russia neither collapsed internally nor capitulated to the collective West’s demands for regime change in Moscow. Washington underestimated Russia’s societal cohesion, its latent military potential, and its relative immunity to Western economic sanctions. 

As a result, Washington’s proxy war against Russia is failing. U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin was unusually candid about the situation in Ukraine when he told the allies in Germany at Ramstein Air Base on January 20, “We have a window of opportunity here, between now and the spring,” admitting, “That’s not a long time.”  

Read more ....  

WNU Editor: Douglas Macgregor has been accurate in his analysis on the war since the beginning. The above analysis is a blunt one, but he is not alone. Even the RAND Corporation in its latest report on the Russia - Ukraine war is acknowledging that the US better start searching for an off ramp to this conflict, and soon .... New RAND Study Warns Against "Protracted Conflict" In Ukraine (January 28, 2023).

Migrants Now Entering The US From Canada

Migrants are seen wading through deep snow along the U.S.-Canada border in a photo shared by the Border Patrol 

Daily Mail: Now they're coming from CANADA: Northern border sees 743% spike in illegal migrants trying to cross in a year due to 'easier entry than Mexico' - as cops release eerie images of asylum seekers trudging through 12F snow 

* Between October 1 and December 31, the Border Patrol's Swanton Sector - covering Vermont and New Hampshire - saw a surge in migrant encounters 

* Agents reported a 743 percent increase in apprehensions and encounters compared to the same period the year prior 

* Border Patrol officials say they are worried that migrants are unaware of how cold it can get, and say people traffickers are exploiting their desperation 

Border Patrol working in the north of the US have reported a 743 percent rise in migrant encounters compared to the same period a year ago. 

Robert Garcia, the chief patrol agent for the Swanton Sector - which covers Vermont, New York and New Hampshire - said he was troubled by the increasing popularity of the people-smuggling route. 

He warned traffickers are exploiting desperate asylum seekers with potentially lethal consequences, amid freezing temperatures and dangerous passages.  

Read more ....  

WNU Editor: While many of these migrants do travel to cross the border from Canada to the US, many stay in Canada. I live in Canada, and as long time readers of this blog know, I have been warning of Canada's migrant crisis for years. The difference now is that the illegal surge is beyond what it has been in the past, and it is impacting Canadians directly from the lack and/or high cost of of rental housing units, to low wages in the job market. And here is an easy prediction. It is going to get worse. Much worse.