Showing posts with label U.S. election. Show all posts
Showing posts with label U.S. election. Show all posts

Wednesday, November 9, 2022

U.S. Midterm Elections Update: No Red Wave. Democrats Keep Control Of The US Senate. Republicans May Win Control Of The House

 


WNU editor: The polls were wrong. The pundits were wrong. No red tsunami. 

President Biden was right. On the eve of the election he said it will be difficult for the Democrats to hold the House, but the US Senate was close. That is exactly what the situation is this morning. 

A few days ago I said in a normal situation when the ruling party was facing re-election with runaway spending, high interest rates, high inflation, high energy prices, a completely broken border, soaring crime rates, growing homeless camps in the major cities, recession, and multiple crisis abroad that even includes waging an undeclared war against Russia .... that ruling party will be toast. That in this election cycle the Republicans should be walking walking away with a minimum of flipping 4 or 5 senate seats, and even more (45+ seats) in the House of Representatives. 

But we do not live in normal times. 

When someone like John Fetterman who is suffering from the aftermath of a stroke and who cannot even articulate a coherent sentence, let alone know what a person is saying to him, flips and wins a US Senate seat convincingly, you know there is something wrong. 

When the Northeast of the U.S., facing crippling high heating oil costs and shortages brought about by the anti-oil policies of the Democrats still end up voting for them, and overwhelmingly, you know there is a problem. 

And don't get me started on a California and Washington state and who won the governorship of Arizona.

Bottom line.

A lot of Americans support the policies of President Biden.

And on the local level, whether you are in New York city, Philadelphia, Los Angeles, the Bay area, Portland, Seattle, Chicago, Washington DC, etc., there is overwhelming support for a continuation of these policies.

This support for the Democrats and their policies has translated into the following.

Flipping the governorship of two Republican states.

Unless the Democrats find some hidden ballots somewhere, they are going to lose the Nevada senate seat, and will fall short on flipping the US senate seat in Wisconsin. It all comes down to Georgia where Democrat senate candidate Warnock may fall just short of the 50% threshold necessary to win, but is well positioned to win in the run-off. In the end this will mean Democrat control of the US Senate.

The Republicans are trending to win control of the House of Representatives, but if they do their majority is going to be razor - thin with only a handful of seats.


Saturday, November 5, 2022

President Biden Believes Democrats Will Keep The US Senate And Have A 'Chance' In The House On Tuesday's Midterm Elections

 

Daily Mail: 'We’re going to win this time... I think': Joe Biden believes Democrats will keep the Senate and have a 'chance' in the House despite Republican lead in the polls as the Democrats try to avoid a red wave 

* President Joe Biden was in California on Friday to shore up party support 

* Before he left he gave an optimistic view of the midterm elections 

* 'I feel really good about our chances,' he told reporters traveling with him 

* Polls have shifted towards Republicans in the final weeks of campaigning 

* They are heavy favorites to take the House, and have an edge in the Senate 

President Joe Biden on Friday offered a wildly upbeat assessment of his party's chances in next week's midterm elections, claiming Democrats will keep the Senate and could even hold on to the House of Representatives - despite a slew of polls forecasting that Republicans will make sweeping gains.

'We're gonna win this time this time around, I think. I feel really good about our chances,' he said. 'I think we're gonna keep the Senate, pick up a seat. I think we have a chance of winning the House.'  

Read more ....  

WNU Editor: Is President Biden right? You tell me.

Thursday, October 6, 2022

Will OPEC's Production Cuts And Expected Price Increases Hurt The Democrats In The U.S. Midterms

 

FOX News: October surprise? Why OPEC's planned price hike could pummel Democrats 

Midterms are coming up fast and Democrats know that a sharp rise in gas prices engineered by OPEC could destroy their plans The midterm elections are weeks away and OPEC+ is threatening to cut oil production. 

That’s not good news for you, the consumer; it’s also not good news for President Joe Biden and his fellow Democrats. 

Biden’s bump up in the polls over the past few months tracked declining gasoline prices. For nearly 100 days, gas prices went down. They peaked at a record high of more than $5 per gallon in June and reached a low of $3.67. Now, at $3.80, they have begun to head back up. 

Read more .... 

WNU Editor: Democrat pundits clearly believe that OPEC's production cut will have an impact (see above video). But the White House is already reacting to make sure that OPEC+'s oil production cuts will not impact prices when the midterm elections take place next month .... Biden to release 10M more barrels from Strategic Petroleum Reserve in November in wake of OPEC+ cuts (FOX News).

Friday, November 6, 2020

Heavy Democrat Losses In The U.S. House of Representatives Will Make Governing Very Hard For Speaker Nancy Pelosi

Hot Air: Wait, Do Republicans Actually Have A Chance Of Winning The House? 

Last night in a letter to her caucus Pelosi called the election a “challenging” one for Democrats.

It may turn out to be more challenging than she thought. I haven’t verified the following independently but Adrian Gray used to work at the RNC. I doubt he’d tweet these numbers if he wasn’t sure about them.

Would Biden even want to be president knowing he’ll have to negotiate with Mitch McConnell — and Kevin McCarthy? If those remaining districts flip red and the GOP gets to 218, he might as well walk out today and say, “Trump’s right, I cheated. He won. I’m going to go play golf.” 

Don’t get too excited, as Gray notes that the math isn’t in Republicans’ favor in those remaining districts. But a verrrrry narrow Democratic majority in the House will make things hard on Pelosi. 



WNU Editor: Reuters says the Democrats have lost 6 seats .... Glum U.S. House Democrats lament 2020 election losses (Reuters). But when I look at the Reuters site on individual House races (link here), Republicans have comfortably flipped 15 Democrat races. The analysis below is probably correct (or close to it). Bottom line. The Democrats still control the House, but the majority will be incredibly small.