Showing posts with label U.K. election. Show all posts
Showing posts with label U.K. election. Show all posts

Friday, December 13, 2019

Boris Johnson's Election Victory Is A Warning To U.S. Democrats That Their Politics Will Insure President Trump Winning The Presidency Again In 2020

Britain's Prime Minister Boris Johnson meets US President Donald Trump for bilateral talks during the G7 summit in Biarritz, France on August 25, 2019 [Stefan Rousseau/Reuters]

Piers Morgan, Daily Mail: Boris Johnson's triumph proves democracy-denying radical socialists backed by self-righteous celebrities on Twitter are electoral poison – and if Democrats fall for the same delusion, Trump will decimate them in 2020

'What an earthquake we have created!' cried a jubilant Boris Johnson after his stunning UK election triumph last night.

Unusually, the British Prime Minister wasn't either wildly exaggerating or speaking with forked tongue.

Johnson's victory was a genuinely seismic moment, and one whose forceful tremors will be felt most keenly across the Atlantic in America.

Because make no mistake, the lessons from this election carry extraordinary pertinence for next year's US election.

Like Donald Trump and his 'Make America Great Again' mantra in 2016, Boris Johnson won with one very simple message that he rammed home every minute of every day of the six-week campaign.

Read more ....

WNU Editor: Piers Morgan's analysis is spot on. 

Commentaries And Analysis On The U.K. Election





Elizabeth Piper, Reuters: How Boris Johnson's election gamble paid off

It was a straight forward message: “Get Brexit done.”

The mantra of British Prime Minister Boris Johnson and his Conservative Party during the national election campaign was aimed at harnessing voter frustration at a parliamentary logjam over Britain’s exit from the European Union.

It worked.

Read more ....

Commentaries And Analysis On The U.K. Election

Election results 2019: Analysis in maps and charts -- BBC
UK general election 2019: Who won and what happens now? -- BBC
Losing Grimsby: Working-class towns desert UK’s Labour Party -- Alex Turnbull and Jill Lawless, AP
Key takeaways from Boris Johnson’s sweeping election victory -- Mike Cordner, AP
The backroom boys (and girls) behind Boris Johnson's landslide win: How two Kiwi millennials dubbed the '24 hour meme machines', a camera-shy polling guru (and, of course, 'classic Dom' Cummings) masterminded Tories' election triumph -- Daily Mail
Explainer: Reality check for Johnson's Brexit - it's just the beginning -- Gabriela Baczynska and John Chalmers, Reuters
The rise of Boris Johnson: from bumbling journalist to landslide election winner -- France 24
Is this Conservative victory a one-hit Brexit wonder? -- Dan Sabbagh, The Guardian
Boris wins, but the UK loses -- Rob Mudge, DW
UK election 2019: Boris Johnson enters the history books while Labour grapples with 'oblivion' -- Linton Besser, ABC News Online
'Uncertainty ahead': Where does the vote really leave Brexit? -- David Chils, Al Jazeera
UK general election 2019: EU prepares for Brexit hardball -- Katya Adler, BBC
Labour’s failure to realise this was a 2nd Brexit referendum hands Britain to Boris -- Simon Rite, RT
What happens with Brexit after Boris Johnson's victory? -- DW
UK's 'historic' general election: Five things to know -- Al Jazeera
UK General Election: As it happened -- Al Jazeera

World Reaction To Yesterday's U.K. Election





The Guardian: Trump leads global reaction to Tory win with trade deal offer

US president congratulates Boris Johnson on triumph that paves way for US-UK deal

World leaders led by Donald Trump have congratulated Boris Johnson on his election victory, with the US president reiterating his belief that Britain and the US would now be free to strike a “massive” trade deal after Brexit.

“Congratulations to Boris Johnson on his great WIN!” Trump tweeted. “This deal has the potential to be far bigger and more lucrative than any deal that could be made with the EU. Celebrate Boris!”

Read more ....

World Reaction To Yesterday's U.K. Election

General election 2019: World leaders react to Johnson victory -- BBC
World leaders react to Boris Johnson's British election victory -- Reuters
Trump says Boris Johnson win could be 'harbinger' for him -- AFP
Merkel voices caution and optimism on Boris and Brexit at EU leaders' summit -- DW
EU ready to get Brexit talks moving again after UK vote -- AP
UK must be loyal on standards in return for market access – Macron -- The Guardian
EU says talks on future UK relationship will be complex and tough -- Reuters
Israel hails Jeremy Corbyn's crushing defeat as 'a milestone in the fight against hatred... and the spectre of anti-Semitism' -- Daily Mail
Russia Doubts Johnson Election Win Means Better Relations With The U.K. -- Forbes
EU reacts to Johnson's big Brexit win -- Al Jazeera
EU relief as UK polls signal Brexit may soon be done -- AP
General election 2019: Europe's press both relieved and wary -- BBC
'Time to move on': what the European papers say about UK election -- The Guardian

Scotland's First Minister Says She Wants Another Referendum After Last Night's 'Overwhelming' SNP Election Victory





BBC: Election results 2019: Nicola Sturgeon says PM has 'no right' to block Indyref2

Nicola Sturgeon says Boris Johnson has "no right" to stand in the way of another Scottish independence referendum after an "overwhelming" SNP election victory.

Scotland's first minister said the result "renews, reinforces and strengthens" the mandate for Indyref2.

During the campaign, the prime minister said he would reject any request to hold an independence referendum.

But Ms Sturgeon said it was "the right of the people of Scotland".

Read more ....

WNU Editor: Prime Minister Johnson says no .... UK's Johnson tells Sturgeon there will be no new Scottish referendum (Reuters)

More News On Scotland's First Minister Saying She Wants Another Referendum After Last Night's 'Overwhelming' SNP Election Victory

Nicola Sturgeon insists second vote on Scottish independence is now a 'democratic right' because of SNPs 'watershed' general election which saw party win 48 of 59 seats in Scotland -- Daily Mail
Battle ahead: Scotland party leader vows independence push -- AP
Scotland's UK election results deliver another independence mandate, says First Minister -- ABC News Online
SNP victory puts Scottish independence back in the spotlight -- Al Jazeera
‘Irresistible force of Scottish independence meets immovable object of BoJo majority’: Alex Salmond on Tory ‘wipeout’ in Scotland -- RT
Nicola Sturgeon admits she 'got overexcited' with her fist pumping celebration of Jo Swinson losing her seat amid backlash over SNP leader's 'graceless and nasty' response -- Daily Mail

U.K. Labour Leader Corbyn Responds To Last Night's Electoral Defeat



The Guardian: Jeremy Corbyn 'very sad' at election defeat but feels proud of manifesto

The Labour leader is under pressure to step down but did not give a timetable for departure

Jeremy Corbyn has said he is very sad at the election result and suggested he will step down in the early part of next year, but insisted he has “pride in the manifesto”.

The Labour leader gave a short statement in which he did not apologise to the 60 Labour MPs who lost their seats since its 2017 result or acknowledge any responsibility for the party suffering its worst result since 1935.

Read more ....

More News On Labour Leader Corbyn's Remarks On Last Night's Electoral Defeat

The Latest: UK vote a disaster for left-wing Labour Party -- AP
UK Labour's Corbyn says prepared to stay as leader until next year -- Reuters
After crushing defeat, UK's Corbyn says he will not lead Labour at next election -- France 24
Jeremy Corbyn: ‘I did everything I could to lead Labour' -- BBC
Jeremy Corbyn: Shattered dreams of global radical left revolution -- Al Jazeera
Hard-Left fights to keep its grip on Labour: Jeremy Corbyn vows to cling on for MONTHS while successor is chosen and says his extreme policies were NOT to blame for disastrous election rout by Tories -- Daily Mail

U.K. Prime Minister Johnson Outlines His Priorities After Winning Last Night's Election





The Guardian: Boris Johnson pledges to prioritise NHS after election victory

Prime minister wants ‘healing to begin’ after gamble on Brexit-focused election pays off

Boris Johnson has said he wants to “let the healing begin” over Brexit, pitching himself as the prime minister of a one-nation government after winning the largest Conservative majority since Margaret Thatcher.

Speaking outside Downing Street, Johnson said the NHS would be his top priority in government, and that the country needed “a permanent break” from the issue of Brexit after three-and-a-half years of wrangling.

Read more ....

More News On U.K. Prime Minister Johnson Outlining His Priorities After Winning Last Night's Election

Transcript: Boris Johnson's election victory speech in full -- Al Jazeera
Highlights: PM Johnson urges 'healing' for Brexit-bound Britain -- Reuters
PM Johnson urges 'healing' for Brexit-bound Britain -- Reuters
Johnson claims Brexit mandate with new conservative majority -- AP
General election 2019: Let the healing begin, urges PM after poll win -- BBC
After election victory, Boris Johnson promises January 31 Brexit -- Al Jazeera
‘Let the healing begin’: BoJo sings UK unity & says NHS will be top priority after Tory landslide -- RT

U.K. Election Results -- News Roundup



Daily Mail: 'We WILL repay your trust': Boris Johnson urges Britain to find closure over Brexit and vows to work 'round the clock' to bring the divided country back together after his stunning election victory

  * Boris Johnson has promised to 'heal' the country in speech on steps of Downing Street after election victory
  * The Prime Minister was met with wild applause and cheering from staff after returning from seeing the Queen
  * He is on course for a majority of 80 that will allow him to realise his dream of getting the UK out of the EU
  * Government expected to introduce Withdrawal Agreement Bill before Christmas break
  * In defiant message to Remainers demanding a new referendum he said: 'Put a sock in the megaphone'
  * Labour descends into civil war after suffering its worst election defeat since 1935 and Corbyn quits
  * Opposition leader say he will not fight another election after winning 203 seats but will not go immediately

Boris Johnson today vowed to 'heal' the country after years of Brexit warring as he hailed his historic election victory.

In a speech on the steps of No10, the PM said he was determined to 'repay the trust' of the wave of former Labour supporters who handed him a huge new mandate.

He said he would work 'round the clock' to unite the UK - promising to represent everyone rather than just his own backers.

Read more ....

WNU Editor: Not everyone is happy with the results .... 'Not my prime minister', protesters march in London against Johnson (Reuters). Many are still in denial .... 'The fight carries on', anti-Brexit protester says after UK vote (Reuters)

Update: The final results are here .... UK election results 2019: Boris Johnson returned as PM with all constituencies declared (The Guardian).

U.K. Election Results -- News Roundup

The Latest: UK’s Conservatives end up with majority of 80 -- AP
Live: UK’s Johnson vows to ‘get Brexit done on time’ after crushing election victory -- France 24
'Brexit closure': Johnson wins commanding victory in UK election -- Reuters
Boris Johnson's Conservative Party win absolute majority in UK election -- France 24
Conservatives win greatest majority in 32 years; Johnson vows to leave EU -- UPI
Boris Johnson hails historic UK election win and promises Brexit progress -- ABC News Online
UK election: Boris Johnson's Conservatives secure landslide victory -- DW
Conservative Party wins overall majority in UK election -- Al Jazeera
Rout of the Remainer martyrs: Turncoat MPs who rebelled against their parties are BOOTED OUT of the Commons -- Daily Mail

Thursday, December 12, 2019

U.K. Exit Polls -- Massive Conservative Landslide Is Being Predicted

The exit poll put Boris on for a huge majority

The SUN: Election exit poll – Boris Johnson on course for a landslide as polls predict thumping majority of 86 in huge Tory win

BORIS Johnson is on course for an election landslide tonight after the exit polls tipped the Tories to win a whopping 368 seats.

Seconds after the polls closed at 10pm a joint poll put the Conservatives on track for a huge win, with Labour trailing behind on 191.

The expected results mean Britain's political chaos could finally be over, leaving Boris with the numbers to push his Brexit deal through Parliament in weeks.

Meanwhile, Jeremy Corbyn will be facing deafening calls to finally quit as Labour leader after failing to win a second general election in a row - and seeing Labour to its worst defeat since 1983 under Michael Foot.

And it would put Britain on course for the biggest Tory win since 1987 - where they got a 102 seat majority under Margaret Thatcher.

Read more ....

WNU Editor: As I said my Tuesday. My gut was telling me that the Tories were going to win even more seats than what was being predicted .... Polls Points To A Big Tory Win In UK Election This Thursday (December 10, 2019). The electorate wanted Brexit to happen, and they wanted the infighting to end. Boris Johnson now has a clear mandate to proceed.

Update: The official election results can be monitored from here .... Election results 2019 live (Guardian).

U.K. Election Coverage (Live)











LIVE UPDATES

Election results live: find out when your constituency will be declared -- The Guardian

UK Election: Live -- BBC

General election 2019: voting enters final hours in 'most important poll in a generation' – live news -- The Guardian

General election news - live: One in four still undecided on who to back in 'truly historic' poll as voting enters final hours -- The Independent

Live blog: UK votes in general election that could determine future of Brexit -- France 24

UK general election: Voters head to the polls — live updates -- DW

Live Updates: U.K. Votes in General Election -- The New York Times

U.K. Election -- Analysis, Commentaries, And Predictions



Daily Mail: Hour by hour, the 10 key moments that will reveal whether Boris Johnson will stay in Downing Street

* Ten Leave-supporting Labour marginals in the North and Midlands expected to declare their results by 3am
* The exit poll will be released at 10pm and will give an indication of how tight the results will be.
* One of the earliest is bellweather seat of Workington, where Labour is defending a majority of almost 4,000
* Darlington will follow soon after followed by Wrexham and Stockton South
* The results in these key seats could make all the difference to the timing and manner of Brexit

Boris Johnson will not have to wait long to decide whether he will taste champagne or bitter tears tonight with a host of key seats determined early on.

Ten Leave-supporting Labour marginals are among the constituencies expected to declare their results in the early hours of Friday, after polls close at 10pm.

Many have been Labour for generations and whether they stay in the hands of Jeremy Corbyn or switch allegiance to the Tories could make all the difference to the timing and manner of Brexit.

Read more ....

U.K. Election -- Analysis, Commentaries, And Predictions

What time will we know who won? Hour-by-hour election night guide -- Kate Proctor, Rowena Mason, Jim Waterson and Tim Jonze, The Guardian
'Brutal, packed with untruths, uninspiring': European press on UK election -- The Guardian
Brexit in the balance: A look at possible outcomes of the UK vote -- France 24
Almost a quarter of voters might CHANGE THEIR MINDS about who to vote for, according to new poll that suggests Boris Johnson is on course for a majority -- Daily Mail
REVEALED - Corbyn's polling day ploy to convince celebs to back his party: Comedian claims leader's social media team asked him to tweet 'Labour' and help 'start a wave' of other luvvies doing the same (and looks like it worked!) -- Daily Mail
From a thumping Tory win to a Corbyn coalition – four election scenarios -- The Guardian
On the campaign trail - The funny, strange and surreal of Britain's election -- William James and Kylie MacLellan, Reuters

U.K. Election -- News Updates December 12, 2019



Daily Mail: The election is too close to call: 'Mega' turnout has nervous Tories fearing Boris Johnson's huge poll lead has slipped away while Labour claim their 'red wall' is NOT crumbling

  * Polling stations are open from 7am until 10pm, when an exit poll will give the first indication of the results
  * Boris Johnson voted in Westminster at around 8am and Jeremy Corbyn in Islington expected at 9.30am
  * Results in key seats are expected from 2am tomorrow and the next PM should be known by 6am Friday
  * Early results in Labour strongholds in the North East could show early signs of a swing to the Conservatives
  * Results will come pouring in from around 3am, with big names including Iain Duncan Smith at risk of losing
  * Tory strategists believe key to victory is grabbing Labour heartlands including Workington and Grimsby

The election looks too close to call with just hours to go until the polls close - with both parties claiming that high turnout will boost their chances.

Going in to today, Boris Johnson had a narrowing lead in the polls and is hoping to secure a swathe of northern Labour seats.

But Labour sources claim its vote is holding up and the so-called 'red wall' is not crumbling as predicted weeks before the election.

Read more ....

WNU Editor: I always use the Guardian to look at the incoming results .... Election results live: find out when your constituency will be declared (The Guardian).

U.K. Election -- News Updates December 12, 2019

UK Election: Live -- BBC
General election 2019: voting enters final hours in 'most important poll in a generation' – live news -- The Guardian
General election news - live: One in four still undecided on who to back in 'truly historic' poll as voting enters final hours -- The Independent
Live blog: UK votes in general election that could determine future of Brexit -- France 24
UK general election: Voters head to the polls — live updates -- DW
Live Updates: U.K. Votes in General Election -- The New York Times

General election 2019: Voters head to polls across the UK -- BBC
UK voters head to polls for 'Brexit general election' -- France 24
UK voters choose a new government to resolve Brexit impasse -- AP
UK votes to decide the fate of Brexit, again -- Reuters
British election: Johnson, Corbyn battle for PM; 'Brexit' on the ballot -- UPI
Polls open in UK election, giving voters a Brexit choice between Boris Johnson and Jeremy Corbyn -- ABC News Online
Britons vote in high-stakes election dominated by Brexit -- Al Jazeera
Long queues reported at polling stations as voters turn out for 'election of a lifetime' -- The Independent

Wednesday, December 11, 2019

U.K. Election News Updates -- December 11, 2019



Daily Mail: Will Boris Johnson get his Brexmas wish? Labour makes MORE gains in latest poll but the Tories are still on course to win a majority with just HOURS to go until general election voting begins

  * The final Opinium survey puts the Conservative Party on 45 per cent and the Labour Party on 33 per cent
  * The Tories are down one per cent when compared to company's previous poll but Labour is up two points
  * Poll suggests that one in ten voters are yet to make up their mind on who to back at the ballot box tomorrow
  * Opinium poll comes after a massive YouGov survey showed Boris Johnson is on course to win 28 seat majority
  * But margin of error on YouGov survey is sufficiently large that a hung parliament is still very real possibility
  * The latest poll numbers came as all the main party leaders embarked on a frantic last day of campaigning

A new poll today gave a last-minute boost to Boris Johnson on the eve of the general election - putting the Tories on course to win a majority.

But Jeremy Corbyn and the Labour Party are still gaining ground with just hours to go until the nation votes, according to the survey conducted by Opinium between December 10-11.

It puts the Tories on 45 per cent overall, down one point on the company's work published last week.

Labour is up two points in the poll to 33 per cent, giving the Tories a 12 point lead as Britain prepares to go to the ballot box.

Read more ....

U.K. Election News Updates -- December 11, 2019

Live: Election campaign enters final hours -- BBC
General election: Party leaders cross country in final push for votes – live news -- The Guardian
Leaders scramble for final votes as UK’s ugly election ends -- AP
UK PM Johnson heads for Brexit election win in tightening race -- Reuters
UK ELECTION: polls suggest slim majority for conservatives -- France 24
Candidates make last-minute appeals as British election tightens -- UPI
UK leaders stage final rallies before election -- Al Jazeera
Brexit looming, UK decides between Tories and Labour -- DW
UK braces for critical election called to break Brexit deadlock -- Al Jazeera
On the campaign trail: Get Branding Done: British PM's odd campaign merchandise -- Reuters

Tuesday, December 10, 2019

Polls Points To A Big Tory Win In UK Election This Thursday


Zero Hedge/Mish Talks: Number-Crunching The Polls Points To Big Tory Win In UK Election

Martin Baxter's Electoral Calculus Model estimates a Tory majority of 46 based on opinion polls from 02 Dec 2019 to 07 Dec 2019, sampling 10,827 people.

I arrive at 10,827 by discarding the Savanta ComRes poll highlighted in yellow.

Baxter did not discard that poll out of bias but rather because there were two overlapping polls by the same pollster and he used the most recent one.

I calculated the averages excluding Opinium because Opinium looks silly in relation to everything else. The net effect is to toss the highest and lowest and keep average the rest. This is a frequently used method to discard outliers.

Read more ....

WNU editor: My gut .... and it just my gut .... tells me that the Tories are going to do even better than what the polls are saying. Not everyone has this point of view .... UK's Johnson now less certain of election victory: YouGov (Reuters).

Here Is A U.K. Election Ad That Is Receiving A Lot Of Attention


WNU Editor Well done ad. It reminds me of a Bob Dylan song (video here). Bottom line. This is going to be copied in one form or another in future elections around the world.

Saturday, December 7, 2019

Polls Predict A Comfortable Win For The UK Conservatives When Voters Go To the Polls This Thursday



Reuters: Poll predicts UK Conservatives to win majority of 38 in election: Sunday Times

LONDON (Reuters) - British Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s Conservative Party is on course to win a parliamentary majority of 38 seats in Thursday’s election, according to a new poll, the Sunday Times’ political editor reported.

A Datapraxis poll, using the multilevel regression and post-stratification (MRP) model, predicted that the Conservatives would win 344 seats, with the opposition Labour Party taking 221, the Times’s Tim Shipman said on Twitter.

Read more ....

WNU Editor: I am skeptical that this is going to happen .... Calls grow to stop Boris Johnson with tactical voting as race tightens (The Guardian).

Update: When you are enjoying an eight to ten point lead, that is usually more than enough to form a majority government .... Knife-edge? UK's Johnson ahead but polls suggest majority might be tough (Reuters).

Update #2: My U.K. election prediction. My gut tells me that everyone has already made up their minds on who they re going to vote for. The Tories are going to win with a comfortable majority, and  Brexit will be a "fait-accompli" at the beginning of the new year.

More News On A Number Of Polls Published Today On The U.K. Election

UK PM Johnson sees lead over Labour edge up: YouGov poll -- Reuters
UK's Conservatives 11 points ahead of Labour before election: Deltapoll -- Reuters
UK PM Johnson's lead over Labour narrows: Savanta ComRes poll -- Reuters
UK PM Johnson's Conservatives keep 15-point lead over Labour: Opinium poll -- Reuters
Knife-edge? UK's Johnson ahead but polls suggest majority might be tough -- Reuters
Tories hold 15-point lead over Labour with just days until election -- The Guardian

Thursday, November 28, 2019

Polls In The U.K. Still Predicting A Majority Government For Boris Johnson



Business Insider: Boris Johnson's Conservatives are heading for a huge victory over Labour, according to the polling model which correctly forecast Theresa May would lose her majority

* Boris Johnson is on course for a big majority in the general election, according to the polling model that accurately predicted the outcome of the 2017 election.
* The Conservatives would win 359 seats, Labour 211, the SNP 43, and the Lib Dems 13, YouGov's MRP model suggested.
* The result would give Johnson a majority of 68 as he made big gains at Labour's expense, particularly in the Midlands and north of England.
* However, only a relatively modest swing in the other direction would trigger another hung parliament.

Boris Johnson's Conservatives are set for a crushing general election win over Labour on December 12, according to the polling model which accurately predicted the outcome of the 2017 vote.

The YouGov data, which tracks the responses of tens of thousands of people, said the Tories could win a 68-seat majority in parliament if the election were held tomorrow.

Labour is on track for 211 seats, it predicted, losing 44 constituencies to the Conservatives, including the seat of Tom Watson, the outgoing deputy leader.

Read more ....

Update #1: Boris Johnson Set for 68-Seat Majority According to YouGov Poll (Bloomberg)
Update #2: UK's Conservatives set for biggest win since 1987: YouGov model (Reuters)

WNU Editor: I like the YouGov polling model because it uses a large sample size, and it has a history of understanding voters intentions. As to what is my prediction. Even though I am an outsider, my gut tells me that almost everyone voter in the U.K. has alrady made up their mind, and Boris Johnson is going to have a huge majority after December 12 with a clear mandate for Brexit.

Sunday, November 17, 2019

Conservatives Continue To Lead According To Opinion Polls Published On Saturday

Britain's Prime Minister Boris Johnson with Conservative party candidate for the Mansfield constituency Ben Bradley speaks with people as they campaign in Mansfield, Britain, November 16, 2019. Frank Augstein/Pool via REUTERS

Reuters: UK PM Johnson's Conservatives have highest support since 2017: polls

LONDON (Reuters) - British Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s Conservative Party have the highest level of support since 2017, according to opinion polls published on Saturday.

The Dec. 12 election was called to end three years of disagreement over Brexit that has sapped investors’ faith in the stability of the world’s fifth largest economy and damaged Britain’s standing since it voted in a 2016 referendum to leave the European Union.

Johnson, 55, hopes to win a majority to push through the last-minute Brexit deal he struck with the EU last month after the bloc granted a third delay to the divorce that was originally supposed to take place on March 29. Voters in 2016 referendum narrowly voted in favor of leaving the EU.

Johnson’s Conservatives lead Labour by 10-17 percentage points, four polls published on Saturday show.

Read more ....

WNU Editor: Here is an interesting analysis on Boris Johnson's appeal .... The poshest working-class hero since Winston Churchill: Despite his gilded path to Number 10, the Prime Minister's blue collar fan base dwarfs Jeremy Corbyn's, writes DOMINIC SANDBROOK (Daily Mail). The momentum is clearly favouring Boris Johnson. But I think it is more about the electorate giving the finger to the political establishment over Brexit than the image that Boris Johnson's is trying to cultivate. My prediction still holds. It will be a massive parliamentary landslide for the Conservatives.

Monday, November 11, 2019

U.K.'s Brexit Party Will Not Contest Tory Seats That Were Won In The 2017 Election



BBC: General election 2019: Brexit Party will not stand in Tory seats

The Brexit Party has announced that it will not stand candidates in the 317 seats won by the Conservatives at the 2017 general election.

Party leader Nigel Farage said standing candidates across the country could increase the chances of another EU referendum taking place.

But he said the party would stand against all other parties - and focus on taking seats off Labour.

It had vowed to stand more than 600 candidates. The Commons has 650 seats.

Launched in April, the Brexit Party does not hold any Commons seats - but the party was the clear winner in the UK's European elections in May.

Read more ....

WNU Editor: This is a big boost for Boris Johnson. In the meantime Conservative support is holding steady according to recent polls .... UK Conservatives' lead over Labour widens slightly: ICM poll (Reuters).

More News On U.K.'s Brexit Party Not Contesting Tory Seats That Were Won In The 2017 Election

Brexit party will not contest 317 Tory-won seats, Farage says -- The Guardian
Election gift for PM Johnson: Brexit Party stands down in Conservative seats -- Reuters
Nigel Farage says Boris Johnson made a ‘ridiculous’ attempt to 'buy me' with a peerage before he decided to stand down candidates in 317 Tory-held seats - but he told the Government: ‘I’m not interested’ -- Daily Mail
Farage says he won't challenge Johnson's Conservatives in UK elections -- France 24

Sunday, November 10, 2019

Polls Indicate A Conservative Majority When U.K. Voters Go To The Polls On December 12

Daily Mail: New poll shows Tories with a 12-point lead over Labour while calamity Jeremy Corbyn stumbles from crisis to crisis

* Boris Johnson's Conservative party maintained its 12-point lead from last week
* Party's early 'wobble' includes gaffe from Jacob Rees-Mogg about Grenfell fire
* Support for traditional parties grown as backing for Nigel Farage has crashed

Boris Johnson's uncertain start to the Election campaign has not harmed his party's poll ratings, with the Conservatives maintaining their 12-point lead from last week.

The party's early 'wobble' – with gaffes such as Jacob Rees-Mogg suggesting that victims of the Grenfell Tower inferno should have ignored fire brigade advice to stay in the building – has not hit their support.

Their headline figure is 41 per cent, with Labour on 29 per cent – both up one percentage point from last week – with the Liberal Democrats up two points on 16 per cent.

Read more ....

Update #1: These 4 charts show how the UK election, and Brexit, could play out (CNBC)
Update #2: 650 seats, 46 million voters: The UK election in numbers (Washington Post)

WNU Editor: Brexit is the number one issue in this election. And if the above polls hold until election day, Boris Jonhson's Conservative will easily form a majority government. My prediction. The Conservative will have a 40+ seat majority in the House of Commons on December 13, and Brexit will be a fait-accompli in 2020.

Wednesday, November 6, 2019

Will Britain Be Frozen Out Of The 'Five Eyes' Intelligence Alliance If Jeremy Corby Wins?

Fears have been raised that Britain could be frozen out of the 'Five Eyes' spy alliance if Jeremy Corbyn (pictured campaigning in Telford today) becomes PM

Daily Mail: Jeremy Corbyn 'will put national security at risk': Spies fear UK could be frozen out of Five Eyes alliance amid claims Labour leader's close aides will be BANNED from seeing top secret material over hard-Left links

* Election battle is gearing up after Parliament was formally dissolved last night
* Claims intelligence sharing with 'Five Eyes' could be hit if Jeremy Corbyn is PM
* Boris Johnson compared Labour leader to Stalin as he prepares campaign launch

Fears have been raised that Britain could be frozen out of the 'Five Eyes' spy alliance if Jeremy Corbyn becomes PM.

Concerns are mounting in Whitehall that the flow of intelligence sharing between the UK, US, Australia, Canada and New Zealand could dry up due to a lack of trust in the Labour leader.

Mr Corbyn has been accused of undermining the Trident nuclear deterrent - which Labour in theory is meant to back - by admitting he would never use it.

There are also claims that Mr Corbyn's closest aides could be blocked from seeing top secret material in Downing Street due to links with Russia and the hard Left.

Read more ....

Update #1: FIVE EYES SHUT Intelligence services and Foreign Office ‘fear Jeremy Corbyn would risk national security’ if he wins election (The SUN)
Update #2: UK Intelligence and Foreign Office Fear Corbyn Would Risk National Security If Becomes PM – Reports (Sputnik)

WNU Editor: I doubt that Jeremy Corbyn and the Labour Party will win a majority when British voters go to the polls in December. But on the odd chance that he does win a majority, a lot of things will be changing in the U.K., and the U.K.'s position in the Five Eyes will be one of them.