Saturday, February 6, 2016

A Falling Out Between Russia And Iran Over Syria?

Iran’s Ali Akbar Velayati (R) shakes hands with Russian President Vladimir Putin before a meeting in Moscow on January 28, 2015. Press TV

Debka: Iran and Russia in first major falling-out over Syrian war and Assad

While diplomats from 70 countries talked in London about how to raise $9 bn for projects to rehabilitate Syria’s refugees and rebuild their war-ravaged country, its future was further clouded this week by an argument that flared between the main arbiters, Russia and Iran.

Ali Akbar Velayati, Iranian supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s foreign affairs advisor, spent three days in Moscow Feb. 1-4 haranguing Russian leaders, including President Vladimir Putin, whom he saw twice, on the differences that had cropped up in their long political and military cooperation for propping up the Assad regime.

The Iranian official went home without resolving those differences, DEBKAfile’s sources report exclusively. Left pending were not just the next stage of the war but also the fate of President Bashar Assad.

Read more ....

WNU Editor: Regular readers of this blog know that I am sceptical of posting stories from Debka .... but this one makes "some sense". Ali Akbar Velayati was in Moscow for a few days .... Iran’s Velayati submits Rouhani’s message to Russian president (Press TV). And while the public focus of this meeting was on Iran’s status at the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) .... Kremlin watchers know that President Putin would not spend that much time talking with a foreign adviser on their country's status in the SCO .... instead it has to be on something bigger .... like the war in Syria. Russia is looking for a solution to the Syrian war, and I do know that the Kremlin is not interested in being bogged down for years in the Syrian mess. A political solution is what will end this war, and a reconciliation with some of the rebel groups will need to be done in order to defeat the more radical groups like Al Nusra and the Islamic State. And while the Iranian leadership has made it very clear that they want to destroy all of the rebel groups .... realistically it is not possible unless they wish to deploy tens of thousands of soldiers to defeat the rebels, and to then occupy the country to insure the peace ... which of course Iran is not capable of doing.

2 comments:

Jay Farquharson said...

WNU Editor,

I think that in two to three months time, you will find it's just agit-prop, like the Putin to dump Assad stuff that's been pushed out in the MSM for years.

Iran has "Observer" status in the SCO, and now that sanctions have been lifted, will be embarking on a path to full membership,

That will require more than a few issues being resolved in Iran, to provide military, security, intelligence and policing interoperability with the other Members of the SCO.

Anonymous said...

My feeling is that it is beneath Russias dignity to cast its lot with Iran or China, in the long run, they may wish they had embraced less dumb bombs and anti democratic fringe societies, and learned a lesson from previous mistakes. Human instinct for a free life reigns supreme, and all people will try to cast off the bonds of their oppressors. Putin could see the light by not intimidating the Swedes and other adventures and embrace his democratic capitalist neighbors. It would ultimately have a better ring than the apocalyptic machinations of Iran or anti democratic ways of the PRC. I'd guess President Putin knows this but is to ego driven to go towards the light. The round table of evil, welcomes all who don't ask questions. Wake up, Mr. Putin, move the scale toward the good, you will be welcomed. You have so much more in common and can still sell arms to your other friends. Tear down the wall! We are your friend, even if we accept gays, a women's right, and freedom of speech. It ain't so threatening when you loosen the grip.