Commentaries, analysis, And Editorials -- January 26, 2022

 

BBC: Ukraine: How will we know if war has started? 

Everyone is trying to second-guess President Vladimir Putin's intentions in Ukraine. 

The US is pulling embassy staff out as fears rise of looming conflict. 

But maybe it's already started, writes security and defence expert Jonathan Marcus. 

The risk of an all-out war between Russia and Ukraine dominates the headlines. 

All the obvious questions are being asked. 

Will Russia attack? 

Is President Vladimir Putin determined upon war come what may? 

Or can diplomacy secure peace? 

But we cannot see inside President Putin's mind. So here's another question - how will we know when hostilities commence?  

Read more .... 

Commentaries, Analysis, And Editorials -- January 26, 2022  

War at what price? Russia, NATO weigh cost of Ukraine showdown -- France 24  

What is the 'Normandy Format' for resolving the crisis in Ukraine? -- Christoph Hasselbach, DW  

Here's what sanctions the US could impose on Russia if it invades Ukraine -- ABC News Australia  

Will the lights go out in Europe if Russia invades Ukraine? -- Philippa Nuttall, New Statesman  

Ukraine: What is Nato and why doesn't Russia trust it? -- BBC

Biden's Big Test: Proving He Can Rally Allies Against Putin -- Aamer Madhani and Zeke Miller, AP  

‘The Russians are coming’: Sweden on edge as Russia flexes military muscle -- Louise Nordstrom, France 24  

With Russia’s Ukraine build-up, NATO faces existential crisis of coherence -- Joshua Huminski, Breaking Defense  

The Alarm Bells in Europe -- Michael Brendan Dougherty, National Review  

Afghanistan: How the Taliban stand to benefit from Norway talks -- Shamil Shams and Masood Saifullah, DW  

Be Wary of Argentina’s Latest Economic “Miracle” -- Eduardo Levy Yeyati, America's Quarterly  

Burkina Faso coup: Why soldiers have overthrown President Kaboré -- Beverly Ochieng, BBC  

Assad’s normalization and the politics of erasure in Syria -- Steven Heydemann, Brookings  

Biden Can’t Bring Peace to Yemen While Iran Sends Weapons -- Ahmed Charai, National Interest  

Biden promised a harder line on Saudi Arabia. Why can’t he deliver? -- Jonathan Guyer, VOX  

The United States and Japan Should Prepare for Chinese Aggression Against Taiwan -- David Sacks, Council on Foreign Relations  

How Long Can Biden Muddle Through on China? -- Joshua Rovner, War on the Rocks