Tom Z. Collina, Defense One: Will Russia Go Nuclear?
Probably not, but that ultimately depends on factors out of our control, including Putin himself.
President Joe Biden had a quick answer when he was asked on Monday whether Americans should be concerned about nuclear war. “No,” he said. Well, not so fast.
The question was motivated by Russian leader Vladimir Putin’s recent threats to use nuclear weapons in Ukraine, where he is leading a brutal and unjustified war. Putin will probably not go nuclear, but that ultimately depends on factors out of our control, including Putin himself. Given the catastrophic consequences of atomic weapons, that should be deeply concerning.
Indeed, according to recent polling, 63 percent of Americans are worried about Russia launching a nuclear attack. And no wonder. Before the invasion even started, Russia test-fired nuclear-capable missiles as part of “planned” exercises as tension rose.
Soon after the invasion, Putin reminded the world that Russia “remains one of the most powerful nuclear states” and he threatened “consequences you have never faced in your history” for “anyone who tries to interfere with us,” a clear nuclear threat to anyone who might come to Ukraine’s aid.
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Commentaries, Analysis, And Editorials -- March 7, 2022
The Nuclear Threat From Russia -- Jeremy Shapiro, Financial Times
Why the War in Ukraine Seems Destined to Get Far Worse -- Robert Kelly, 19FortyFive
Russia-Ukraine war: Key things to know about the conflict -- AP
Russian Invasion Reorders West's Calculations on Cost of War -- Aamer Madhani, AP
Ukraine invasion: Can China do more to stop Russia's war in Ukraine? -- Robin Brant, BBC News
Why Israel Is Mediating Between Russia, Ukraine -- Tia Goldenberg, AP
What Would a Ukraine-Russia Peace Deal Look Like? -- Anatol Lieven, Guardian
The Baltics Should Be Worried -- Krista Viksnins, CEPA
Two pathways to recovering Russia expertise in the US military -- Robbin Laird, Breaking Defense
Ukraine war: Will Arab oil save the world from soaring prices? -- Cathrin Schaer, DW
Ukraine war could send bread, noodle and livestock feed prices skyrocketing -- ABC News Australia
Syria, Afghanistan, Ukraine: how many refugee crises can the world cope with? -- Anushka Asthana, The Guardian
The world leaders pushing for peace in Ukraine, and their motives -- Patrick Wintour, The Guardian
Watching the war from the sidelines will be bitter -- Barbara Wesel, DW
Send More Aid to Taiwan, Before It’s Too Late -- Dustin Walker and Eric Sayers, Defense One
3 comments:
I don't think Putin is going to use nuclear weapons. He knows perfectly that Russia is not the only country which have some and he is very pragmatic.
That Never Happened: Canada's First National Internment Operations
Never know what a Canadian Prime Monster might do.
They have penchant for rounding up Ukrainians.
Literally the same situation as the cuban missile crisis. We were willing to go nuclear then because it meant missiles so close to our border that we'd be unable to uphold MAD and respond in time, and Russia is willing to do the same now when it means a NATO buildup in Ukraine. It's all quite logical.
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