Wednesday, April 6, 2022

Mapping The Russian Invasion Of Ukraine -- April 6, 2022

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Anonymous said...

It looks like the Russians re getting their ass handed to them.

People can read too much into maps. Russia is in between offensives. Today or in the next 3 days Russia will launch another offensive. So we shall see.

It is claimed by people like Scott Ritter that the Kyiv offensive is brilliant. When people pointed out 6 or 7 weeks that the soldiers in Belarus were not enough to take Kyiv, I noted that as an "army in being" it tied up Ukrainian troops. On that Ritter and I agree.

Ritter said that Ukrainian troops this tied down could not get to Donbas in time due to Russian aerial interdiction and the destruction of POL facilities. Assuming that rail or road (vehicular) travel is not possible en masse, then that leaves marching. Assuming a march rate of 20 miles per day, it would take 18 days to get from Kyiv to Donbas. The Russian would get there 12 to 15 days sooner.

Still for all the rollbacks and the lack of Russian air superiority, is it reasonable to assume that the Ukrainians cannot get there sooner?

I would like to know the following:

*How good of order did the Russian north of Kyiv retire in?

*How well rated are these troops compared to other troops?

*Which new troops are going into Donbas and how are they rated.

*What are the comparable troop numbers, troop rating and supply positions of the Russians and Ukrainians?


April 6, 2022 at 1:22 PM

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