Ukrainian soldiers fire a French Caesar howitzer toward Russian positions on the front line in eastern Ukraine. (file photo)
Larry Johnson, The Gateway Pundit: What Is Going On With Ukraine and its War Strategy?
The gulf between what Ukraine thinks it is achieving vis-a-vis its defeat of the Russian invasion and the reality on the ground is growing astronomically. There are some stark facts that must be acknowledged:
1) Ukraine’s air force is inactive. Whatever still exists is not providing close air support to besieged Ukrainian troops or carrying out aerial attacks against Russian positions.
2) Ukraine’s rotary wing aircraft–i.e., helicopters–also is inactive. Only a few helicopters remain and they rarely venture to the front. They are not hitting Russian truck and tank columns with air launched rockets.
3) Ukraine’s tank battalions are non-existent in the Donbas and Kherson. Ukraine keeps its tanks dispersed and camouflaged to protect what remains from air and artillery strikes.
4) Ukraine has shown no ability to reinforce besieged troops and launch a counter attack that pushes the Russians back permanently.
5) Ukraine has used HIMARS, artillery and saboteurs to hit some key Russian ammo depots, but these, so far, are isolated incidents and have not changed the strategic picture.
I have been a target of criticism for taking on the media and opinion reports that portray Russia as desperate and losing. I do this because it is important that someone try to objectively weigh the facts. Propaganda and misinformation can be very dangerous if left unchallenged. Ukraine is a case in point. If you think the facts I outlined above are understood and appreciated by the leaders of Ukraine, think again. They apparently genuinely believe that they will mount an offensive in southern Ukraine that will eventually expel Russia from Crimea. Why? They believe the intelligence and media reports coming from U.S. and European sources that claim Russia is on the ropes and its ground troops are demoralized.
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WNU Editor: I agree with the above analysis. Whatever the Ukraine strategy is, it has the appearance of "lets make it up as we go along" rather than some underlying strategic direction and implementation. The Western media (of course) has a different opinion (see below):
Interview: What Ukraine's New Strategy Means For The Next Phase Of The War -- RFE
Crimea attacks point to Ukraine’s newest strategy: defense minister --Washington Post
With new weaponry, Ukraine is subtly shifting its war strategy -- Japan Times
Ukraine Strategy Targets Russian Army's Lifelines in Kherson -- Bloomberg
Ukraine aiming to create chaos within Russian forces, Zelenskiy adviser says -- The Guardian
Ukraine’s Current Strategy: Cause ‘Chaos Within Russian Forces’ -- Defense Post
Ukraine Strategy to Include Strikes in Russian-Controlled Land -- VOA
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