Urkaine's Top General Writes About How Long The War Could Last And How Can Ukraine Win It

Ukraine General Valeriy Zaluzhnyi and Lieutenant General Mykhailo Zabrodskyi, Ukrinform: Prospects for running a military campaign in 2023: Ukraine’s perspective  

How long the war could last and how can Ukraine win it 

As understood by the absolute majority of military experts and analysts today, the large-scale war unleashed by the Russian Federation against Ukraine on February 24, 2022, has long been beyond the concept of a local conflict of medium intensity. This applies to the spatial indicators, the number of forces involved, and the convincing list of weaponry and other high-tech equipment inherent in this military confrontation. 

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WNU Editor: Bottom line. Ukraine General Valeriy Zaluzhnyi believes this war is going to continue to rage in 2023 and that Russia with its greater resources will maintain the strategic advantage. He also makes it very clear that for Ukraine to win this war it will need the following. (1) Massive Western military support and access to long range weapons. (2) Be able to launch numerous counter-strikes in 2023 to keep the Russian army off-balance and to regain territory. (3) Reclain Crimea which he believes is the center of gravity for Russia in this war. 

As to what is my take on his analysis. 

I agree that the war will still be raging on in 2023. My gut also tells me that it is going to go into 2024.

I do not think Ukraine General Valeriy Zaluzhnyi is going to get the massive military aid that he needs to have to match what the Russian military has deployed in this conflict. Western military stockpiles are already low, and it will take a year (and maybe more) before they are replenished. 

I am sure that Ukraine will be able to launch many counter-strikes in 2023. Unfortunately, as we learned from the Kherson counter-strike this past week, the casualty rates are going to be astronomical. IMHO losing thousands of men while gaining only a few square kilometers of territory is not a winning strategy. 

As I have mentioned before. Russia's military strategy right now is to destroy the Ukrainian army. Ukraine's military strategy right now is to gain territory, something that Ukraine General Valeriy Zaluzhnyi himself mentions many times in the above post. If history is any indication on who will win, it is usually the side with the destroyed army that usually loses. 

As for reclaiming Crimea. Not going to happen. If that should ever become a possibility you will see the Kremlin officially declare war against Ukraine. Order conscription and a general mobilization. Issue the orders to completely destroy Ukraine's civilian infrastructure. And then spend the next 2 to 3 years destroying the Ukraine army and taking much if not all of Ukraine, even if it means a million Russian and Ukrainian casualties in the end.