Thursday, July 21, 2016

Commentaries, Analysis, And Editorials -- July 21, 2016

Aaron David Miller, WSJ: What Would the U.S. Do If the Turkish Military’s Coup Attempt Had Succeeded?

Had Turkey’s military succeeded in toppling President Recep Tayyip Erdogan last Friday, by seizing and consolidating power, and the public acquiesced, how would the U.S. have reacted?

Counterfactuals are, of course, impossible to game out. But that thought experiment shows the difficulty the U.S. might have faced trying to reconcile its interest in a stable Turkey with its commitment to a democratic one. The problem of reconciling U.S. values and interests isn’t limited to Turkey, though those issues might be at the fore this week; this pertains to several partners in the Middle East.

Turkey isn’t Egypt, where millions of citizens supported the military’s removal of President Mohammed Morsi in 2013–a situation about which the Obama administration managed to finesse the military’s action and outmaneuver congressional restrictions on U.S. aid to countries affected by military takeovers.

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Commentaries, Analysis, And Editorials -- July 21, 2016

Turexit: Should Turkey leave NATO? -- Marwan Bishara, Al Jazeera

On Turkey, NATO Succumbs to Geopolitics -- Robbie Gramer, RCW/Atlantic Council

Erdogan Has Obama Over A Barrel -- Daniel Williams, Huffington Post

Why the U.S. Should Move Nukes Out of Turkey -- Tobin Harshaw, Bloomberg

Inside the ISIS Enlistment Files: All Jihad is Local -- Nate Rosenblatt, Defense One

How Palestinian president made an enemy of the UAE -- Rori Donaghy, Middle East Eye

How Japan came to believe in depression -- Christopher Harding, BBC

Analysis: What’s Next for Manila Following South China Sea Ruling? -- Armando J. Heredia, USNI News

Zimbabwe’s accidental anti-Mugabe hero -- Ed Cropley, Iol

Trusted allies: why Putin won't fire sports minister over doping scandal -- Denis Pinchuk and Dimitriy Rogovitskiy, Reuters

Two Brands of Russian Nationalism Drive Kremlin Policy -- John Grady, USNI News

Trump Ignores the Reason America Defends the World -- Bloomberg editorial

US-Cuba relations: On first anniversary, still on the path to normal? -- Howard LaFranchi, CSM

Olympic security: Brazil adjusts to new threats with help from global partners -- Taylor Barnes, CSM

Fewer Nukes Could Make the World Less Safe -- Noah Smith, Bloomberg

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