Tuesday, March 28, 2017

Afghan Taliban Post A Map Of Territory It Controls, And The Experts Are Saying it Is Accurate

(Click on Image to Enlarge)

Long War Journal: Afghan Taliban lists ‘Percent of Country under the control of Mujahideen’

The Taliban issued a “report” that attempts to determine areas in Afghanistan it controls as well as contested areas and areas under the influence of the Afghan government. While the report may be seen as propaganda to bolster its claims of controlling territory, it does not inflate or exaggerate the Taliban’s control of districts centers and contested areas throughout the country, compared to data compiled by FDD’s Long War Journal. The report was actually a rather conservative estimate, painting a dire but realistic picture of the security situation in Afghanistan. The Taliban also admits that there are large areas in Afghanistan where it has only a minimal presence.

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WNU Editor: Black signifies territory that is 100% controlled by the Taliban .... and there is way-too-much black in the above map.

6 comments:

Aizino Smith said...

I agree with the map.

Another way to look at control is cities.

I read the Romans pretty much controlled a land when they controlled the cities.

Those southern 3 big piece of land are mostly empty desert.

That said there is way too much black.

I say we pull out and let it all go black. The Russians will either commit genocide (or at the very least make American collateral damage look small by orders of magnitude) or the Central Asian countries will start percolating.

Aizino Smith said...

How good of a job did Germany and the other socialist countries do in north Afghanistan?

James said...

The LWJ described this report as probably conservative. All land entrances to Afghanistan seem to be either controlled or in the heavily contested category. Given this and the national government's endemic corruption, this war is lost. Only a complete and radical change of tactics, forces, and strategic thinking can change that fact. But then you must ask and answer the question "is it worth it?"

James said...

A ps. Part of that change of strategical thinking would have to include the changing and withdrawal of Pakistan's and Iran's current involvement in the Afghani conflict. Short of war with either or both I don't see how that can happen.

"Sebastian" said...

Better then in the south...

Aizino Smith said...

"Part of that change of strategical thinking would have to include the changing and withdrawal of Pakistan's and Iran's current involvement in the Afghani conflict"

Very funny that James should say that.

It is all also very true.

- One of my criticisms of Cheney is the Kunduz airlift. The Pakis airlifted a out of Taliban, Al Qaeda and Pakistani military out of Kunduz.

- Read "Operation Darkheart" The Pakis were operating alongside the Taliban after 2001 and 2002.

As to Afghan corruption.

"What are you prepared to do?" - Malone

How about making public the dossier on corrupt Afghani politicians?

a) Maybe the Afghanis would prosecute enough, lynch enough or vote enough out to make a difference.

b) Maybe seeing that some of the most corrupt met accidents until their level of corruption was not worse than ours. This would get the Freddies and Jabbers of the world in a kerfluffle.

c) Maybe we leave. Not that we are militarily beat. We can kill enough. We leave, because "You can lead a horse to water, but you can't make it drink".

The "Pottery Barn Rule" does not mean that you beggar your nation for a people that cannot or will not help themselves. Besides Powell is only 1/2 right and 1/2 a man. That man(?) did not have the courage to go into politics, so we ended up scraping the barrel and got Hussein. Powell also consorts with people like Armitage, a snake (& also a person, who is definitely not a man).


They say Sunni Pakistan and Shia Iran have an understanding. Let' see if that understanding withstands the strain of them competing for influence for power in Afghanistan.

If we withdraw let's see if the Russian-Iranian relationship withstands the strain of their competing vision of Afghanistan.

One line of thought was that the USSR wanted a warm water port on the Indian Ocean.

Another line of thought was that the USSR was having problems with Islam in the Central Asian Republics.

the two line are not mutually exclusive.

From Central Asia to Kazan to Moscow.



What is the Muslim name for Moscow?

Per Muslim theology and hegemony, everything before the coming Islam is ignorant and from dark, stupid times.

SO Russian history, language, culture ... who needs it?