These Are The Taiwan War Scenarios

Taiwanese soldiers on an armored vehicle in Taipei during a National Day Celebration following Chinese President Xi Jinping’s vow to unify Taiwan by peaceful means. Photo: AFP / Ceng Shou Yi / NurPhoto  

Asia Times: Weighing and debunking Taiwan war scenarios 

Taiwan defense ministry report highlights China's 'gray zone' threats but surveys show most Taiwanese doubt invasion is imminent.

Beijing has been employing “gray zone” tactics that range from overflights of Taiwanese air space to cyber warfare, in order to increase pressure on the Taiwanese military – all in accordance with its goal of “seizing Taiwan without a fight,” according to a Taiwanese Defense Ministry’s biennial report. 

Defense Minister Chiu Kuo-cheng said in the 200-page report that Beijing was rapidly building up military capabilities while the world was preoccupied with the pandemic. 

The report said there was a “grave threat” to security in the Taiwan Strait and warned Beijing was conducting “cognitive warfare” to sway Taiwanese public opinion. 

A survey compiled by a Taiwanese non-government organization showed that the percentage of people who believed that the Communist Party of China would “attack Taiwan sooner or later” increased to 28.1% this year from 16% in 2019. 

Nevertheless, a majority of interviewees believed that a war in Taiwan Strait wouldn’t happen. 

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WNU Editor: According to the defense report the Taiwanese army should prepare to react to six potential attack scenarios by the People’s Liberation Army (PLA). 

These six scenarios are: a blockade of the Matsu Islands, an invasion of Kinmen, a customs quarantine, a full blockade, an air and missile campaign and an all-out invasion. 

More details on these six scenarios are here .... T-Day: The Battle for Taiwan (Reuters).