Monday, February 20, 2012

Does Israel Have The Ability To Effectively Strike Iran's Nuclear Sites?



Report: U.S. Officials Say Israel Would Need At Least 100 Planes To Strike Iran -- Haaretz

New York Times quotes U.S. defense and military officials as saying that should Israel choose to attack Iran, it would be a highly complex operation.

Israel will need to use at least 100 planes and fly more than 1,000 miles above unfriendly airspace should it decide to attack Iran, the New York Times reported on Monday, citing the assessment of U.S. defense officials close to the Pentagon.

According to the report, American military analysts and defense officials believe that an Israeli strike on Iran's nuclear facilities would be a highly complex operation, and say that it would be very different from Israel's "surgical" strike on Iraq's Osirak reactor in 1981 and would also differ from the strike that Israel is believed to have carried out in Syria in 2007.

Read more ....

Update #1: Iran Raid Seen As A Huge Task For Israeli Jets -- New York Times
Update #2: Air strike out of Israel's reach, say analysts -- Sydney Morning Herald

My Comment: I concur with the above analysis .... Israel does not have the resources to succeed in a first strike, nor the means to sustain a second or third wave against Iran's nuclear facilities. But even with this military capability awareness, western governments are still insecure on Israeli intentions that they are now going out of their way to advise Israel to not launch a military strike on Iran's nuclear facilities. Are the Israelis listening .... I do not know, but I do know that the Israelis are slowly getting ready for the worse case scenario.

What is my prediction if Israel launches a military strike against Iran .... there will be war for one, an increase in international terrorism, but also a 'speed-up' from Iran on its nuclear program, $200/barrel oil, and an arms race in the Middle East (and maybe a nuclear one at that) that will effectively end the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty.

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