Sunday, March 18, 2012

Both Mossad And The CIA Agree That There Is Not Enough Evidence That Iran is Making A Nuclear Bomb

The military complex at Parchin, Iran, southeast of Tehran, in a 2004 satellite image. DigitalGlobe - Institute for Science and International Security, via Associated Press

U.S. Faces a Tricky Task in Assessment of Data on Iran -- New York Times

WASHINGTON — While American spy agencies have believed that the Iranians halted efforts to build a nuclear bomb back in 2003, the difficulty in assessing the government’s ambitions was evident two years ago, when what appeared to be alarming new intelligence emerged, according to current and former United States officials.

Intercepted communications of Iranian officials discussing their nuclear program raised concerns that the country’s leaders had decided to revive efforts to develop a weapon, intelligence officials said.

Read more ....

Update #1: Mossad, CIA Agree Iran Has Yet To Decide To Build Nuclear Weapon -- Haaretz
Update #2: Report: CIA, Mossad face 'tricky intel task' in Iran -- YNet News

My Comment: This lack of intelligence .... coupled with Iran's determined lack of transparency and past lies on their program ... must be giving fits within both Jerusalem and Washington. Is Iran pulling a Saddam Hussein ... exaggerating through innuendo a program that does not exist .... or is it true .... and that building underground and bomb-proof facilities is to protect an active and viable nuclear weapons program. My prediction is that the U.S. will hope that sanctions will succeed, and Iran will open the doors to outside inspectors. If Iran refuses to respond, my bet is that Israel will assume the worse .... and they will respond by preparing their military for operations against Iran.

In the meantime .... rhetoric like this does not help.

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