October Surprise -- Fred Kaplan, Slate
Why Israel may feel pressure to attack Iran before the U.S. presidential election.
Negotiations over Iran’s nuclear program resume in Turkey this weekend, attended by delegates from the five permanent members of the U.N. Security Council plus Germany. Not much is likely to happen.
The big obstacle is this: The Iranians want a pocketful of nuclear weapons. Or, more to the point: The Iranians have always aspired to be the major power in their region. Several of the region’s powers—Israel, Pakistan, and India—have nukes, so Iran wants some too.
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My Comment: I am doubtful that such an attack will occur. I am sure some planners have worked out this scenario ... but politically ... I just do not see the Israelis going through with such an act.
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