Thursday, August 16, 2012

The Coming Sectarian Crack-Up On Syria


Syria's Coming Sectarian Crack-Up -- Michael Doran, Wall Street Journal

Assad's forces will retreat to the north, and an Iranian-backed Alawite canton will be born.

The Obama administration has been decrying the spread of sectarianism in war-torn Syria and calling for the preservation of state institutions there. A "managed transition" is the new mantra in Washington. This isn't a policy but a prayer. Syrian state institutions are inherently sectarian, and they are crumbling before our eyes.

Syria is like Humpty Dumpty. Made up of four or five diverse regions glued together after World War I, the country is an accident of great-power politics. Like neighboring Lebanon, it has now dissolved into its constituent parts. The Free Syrian Army isn't a unified force but rather a network of militias, each with its own regional power base and external patron.

Read more ....

My Comment: A good historical background read on Syria, and a prediction of an Iranian backed Alawite state.

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