The President Was Only 50% Confident That They Had Found Bin Laden

Nail-biting events: The president sat with vice president Joe Biden, and secretary of state Hillary Clinton to watch the mission against Osama bin Laden in the Situation Room

'This Is A Flip Of The Coin You Guys': How President Obama Told Top Security Advisers That Raid That Killed Bin Laden Was A Gamble -- Daily Mail

* New book reveals Obama believed there was a 50/50 chance the man spotted by the C.I.A. in Pakistan was Osama bin Laden
* Head of agency's bin Laden team Michael Morell said the evidence suggesting Saddam Hussein was hoarding weapons of mass destruction was 'much stronger' than the intelligence on bin Laden's whereabouts
* President said he couldn't sleep the night before the daring May 2011 raid that killed the terrorist

President Barack Obama has admitted that giving the green light to the raid that killed Osama bin Laden was 'a flip of the coin' decision.

The president revealed he was only 50 per cent confident that the man spotted by the C.I.A. living in an Abbottabad compound was the world's most wanted terrorist, according to a new book that weaves together accounts from Obama and top decision-makers on the events leading up to the daring operation and it's aftermath.

'This is 50–50,' Obama said, silencing the small group of senior officials gathered in the situation room. 'This is a flip of the coin. You guys, I can't base this decision on the notion that we have any greater certainty than that.'

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My Comment: A 50-50 chance .... considering who he is (was) I would have gone in even with a 25% chance.