The Endgame For Syrian President Assad

SYRIA EXPERT: Assad Will Eventually Flee To The Coast And Rebels Will Battle Each Other -- Michael Kelley, Business Insider

Syria expert Joshua Landis told Voice of America journalist Cecily Hilleary that he thinks Syrian President Bashar al-Assad will eventually flee to the coastal mountains of his ancestral Alawite homeland.

Landis, whose wife is Alawite, said Assad will allow Damascus to be destroyed before relinquishing it to rebels. When he does "the Syrian Army, which has now largely been turned into an Alawite militia, will be forced back into the coastal mountains."

Assad and his troops will be able to survive there, according to Landis, if Iran and Russia continue to provide support in the form of weapons and money while the Sunni Arabs that make up the opposition fail to unify.

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My Comment: I call this the Lebanon scenario .... a country that is divided along sectarian lines. For Syria it will be Alawites on the Mediterranean coast, Kurds in the north, Sunnis in much of Syria, and other groups (Christians, Druze, etc.) scattered everywhere.