Image from The Guardian
The Lesser Of Syria’s Evils -- Jonathan Spyer, The Tablet
Top Israeli military and intelligence analysts are divided over which side to back in Syria’s civil war.
The civil war in Syria has led to a keen debate among the professional echelon tasked with advising policymakers in Israel. This debate has been reflected in a more subdued public conversation and occasionally in spectacular events—like the bombing of Syrian military sites around Damascus. So, what are the dividing lines in this Israeli debate? Does Israel back any side in the war in Syria? And what would be an optimal outcome from the Israeli point of view?
The history of the Israeli-Syrian diplomatic process is long and winding, and it is defined by failure. Direct talks in the 1990s failed to produce an agreement. Subsequent attempts to revive direct negotiations between Damascus and Jerusalem proved elusive. Turkey-sponsored indirect talks broke down after Israel’s Operation Cast Lead action in the Gaza Strip in 2008-2009. Yet discreet channels of communication were nevertheless maintained between Israel and the Syrian regime, often through private individuals close to the Israeli government.
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My Comment: On one side .... Sunni extremists. On the other side .... an Alawite regime backed by Shiite extremists. If I was advising the Israeli government, I would say stay out and let them destroy each other .... any Israeli input would only be disregarded and toss aside once the civil war is over.
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