Thursday, November 14, 2013

What Is The White House's Iran Sanction Strategy?

Inside Obama’s Iran Sanctions Strategy -- Eli Lake and Josh Rogin, Daily Beast

Obama believes he’s near a deal to curb Iran’s nuclear program—and is willing to offer up to $10 billion in sanctions relief. But Israel and Congress think he’s giving away much more.

The United States is prepared to allow Iran to recoup up to $10 billion in revenues lost to sanctions, according to a U.S. government estimate of sanctions relief proposed this weekend at Geneva.

Three sources briefed by the Obama administration this week on the talks between Iran, the United States and five other great powers, say that U.S. estimates on the value of special exemptions to allow Iran to sell and ship some of its oil and other exports would result in no more than $10 billion worth of sanctions relief.

Colin Kahl, a former senior Pentagon official in Obama’s first term and an expert on U.S. policy to Iran, said in testimony before Congress Wednesday that the package being proposed to Iran was worth no more than $6 to $7 billion in sanctions relief.

Read more ....

My Comment:  A lot of "ifs" in this strategy ... driven more by belief and confidence that the Iranians will be accommodating to U.S. demands. My prediction .... the differences are many and Iranian internal politics will make it very difficult for Iran's leaders to make an agreement with "The Great Satan".

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