The Real Nuclear Option -- Micah Zenko, Foreign Policy
Why Israel might nuke Iran to prevent Tehran from going nuclear. Seriously.
This weekend's interim Joint Plan of Action between the P5+1 countries and Iran over its nuclear program was met with skepticism and hostility from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's cabinet. The divergence of the Israeli leadership's perception of the nuclear agreement from that of its close U.S. ally is understandable and expected given the differing threat perceptions the two countries hold over a prospective Iranian bomb. Subsequently, these officials emphasized three points in their public reactions: the agreement is, in Netanyahu's words, a "historic mistake" that makes the world a "much more dangerous place"; Israel is not obligated to accept its terms; and Israel retains the right to attack -- as Netanyahu's spokesperson termed it -- "the Iranian military nuclear program," with all of Israel's military capabilities.
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My Comment: I do not see such a military-nuclear-option on the table .... certainly not in today's environment. And even in the long term the prospect of Israel using nuclear weapons in a preemptive manner .... I have trouble seeing such an event happening. But .... if WMDs are used against Israel .... in that case everything will then become possible, and if I was living in a major Arab/Iranian city, my priority would be to get out as soon as possible.
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