Tuesday, December 10, 2013

Preventing Accidental War In The East China Sea

Image from The Times

How to Prevent Accidental Conflict In The East China Sea -- Zheng Wang, The Diplomat

China and Japan could avoid conflict in the East China Sea by setting up a “peace zone.”

The clock starts ticking for the next crisis. With China’s announcement of the Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) over the East China Sea and the strong response from Japan, the United States and several other countries, tensions in East Asia are mounting. Since the crisis over the Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands in September 2012, both China and Japan have begun to conduct frequent air and marine patrols in the Diaoyu/Senkakus area. With the flyby of the American B-52s, the area around these tiny islands has become a zone of tension with high probability of an accident and subsequent conflict. Just like the EP-3 collision incident between the US and China in 2001, if states continue to play this game of chicken, then an accident is inevitable. As anyone who studies East Asian international relations knows, a small accident between China and Japan could immediately escalate into a major crisis and even military conflict. Historical memory plays a powerful role in the security of East Asia, more than any other region.

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My Comment: Here is a thought .... can anyone name a war that was started accidentally? I am racking my brains .... and I just cannot think of one.

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