What Is The Future Of Sino-U.S. Relations?

How Long Will China Tolerate America's Role in Asia? -- Stephen M. Walt, Foreign Policy

What's the BIG question? If you were trying to predict the course and character of world politics for the next 50 years or so, what question would you like to know the answer to today? It's easy to think of different candidates, such as: 1) will climate change continue unabated with far-reaching effects on the world economy and low-lying areas?; 2) will the euro survive? 3) will terrorists ever acquire and use a weapon of mass destruction?; 4) will there be a major global pandemic? And so forth.

All good questions, but the future of Sino-American relations should be on everyone's list of Top 5 "Big Questions." And on that subject, the main issue is whether China will continue to tolerate America's extensive and powerful military presence in East Asia or whether it will conduct a sustained effort to drive a wedge between the United States and its current allies and eventually force the United States out of the region.

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My Comment: I have learned from my Chinese friends that they view the U.S. as a country that is in decline .... on the political, social, economic, and military level. And as far as they are concerned .... the U.S. role in Asia is also in decline, and in 10 or 20 years will only be a fraction of what it is today. In short .... it is not a question of China tolerating America .... because they actually do not care .... it is more of biding your time and ignoring America as it slowly withdraws from the world scene .... Asia included.