Monday, August 18, 2014

What Is The Prospect For War Between Ukraine And Russia

A Russian convoy of trucks carrying humanitarian aid for Ukraine travels along a road south of the city of Voronezh, Aug. 14, 2014. Maxim Shemetov/Reuters

The Prospect Of War Looms Over Ukraine, Russia -- MSNBC

Zack Beauchamp and Max Fisher asked the sort of question on Friday that needs an answer: “Did Russia and Ukraine just start a war?” The answer probably isn’t as obvious as it should be.
Wars often come with some kind of qualifier – there are, among other things, hot wars, cold wars, open wars, and civil wars. Do any of these apply to developments in Ukraine? The answer obviously matters, but is surprisingly tough to nail down. From the Vox report:
On Friday, as a Russian “aid convoy” of 280 trucks neared the Ukrainian border, NATO said that a separate “incursion” of Russian military forces had crossed into Ukraine. The Russian forces are reportedly in eastern Ukrainian territory held by Russia-backed separatist rebels, according to NATO and Ukrainian government officials. Some reports suggest that there may be open fighting between Ukrainian military forces and the Russian incursion, but it’s far from clear whether that’s true or what precisely is happening on the ground.

Read more ....

Update: Russian forces mass on Ukraine's border: Fears rising tensions could spill into open war -- Daily Mail

My Comment:I still do not see an open war between Russia and Ukraine happening .... even with the catastrophe that is occurring in eastern Ukraine. Russia will focus more on targeted economic sanctions against Ukraine (trade/natural gas/etc.), and support (or turn a blind eye) to the activities of pro-Russian-Ukrainian separatists within Russian territory. As to open warfare between Russia and Ukraine .... it will take a lot more than what is happening now to have that occur.

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