Tuesday, September 23, 2014

CDC: The Worst Case Scenario Has Ebola Infecting 1.4 Million In West Africa By End Of January

A projected spike in Ebola cases by end of October. (Chart courtesy of HealthMap)

CDC: Ebola Could Infect 1.4 Million In West Africa By End Of January If Trends Continue -- Washington Post

The number of Ebola cases in West Africa could reach 1.4 million by the end of January if trends continue without an immediate and massive scale-up in response, according to a new estimate by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

The report released Tuesday is a tool the agency has developed to help with efforts to slow transmission of the epidemic and estimate the potential number of future cases. Researchers say the total number of cases is vastly underreported by a factor of 2.5 in Sierra Leone and Liberia, two of the three hardest-hit countries. Using this correction factor, researchers estimate that approximately 21,000 total cases will have occurred in Liberia and Sierra Leone by Sept. 30. Reported cases in those two countries are doubling approximately every 20 days, researchers said.

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More News On The Ebola Epidemic

CDC report predicts as many as 1.4 million cases of Ebola by January -- FOX News
CDC: Ebola toll could reach 550,000 by January -- CNN
Ebola could strike 20,000 in six weeks, 'rumble on for years': study -- Reuters
There Could Be 20,000 Ebola Cases by November if More Isn’t Done Now -- Time
WHO: 21,000 Ebola cases by November if no changes -- USA Today
Fresh Graves Point to Undercount of Ebola Toll -- NYT
New Ebola hospital in Liberia overwhelmed by patients -- CNN
Ebola outbreak shocked unprepared developed countries, says CDC health agency -- The Guardian
Ebola 'contained in Senegal and Nigeria' -- Al Jazeera
Sierra Leone Considers Repeating Ebola Shutdown -- AP
'Ebola death rates 70%' study shows -- BBC
The Reality Of Ebola In Liberia And Sierra Leone (PHOTOS) -- Huffington Post
Could the Ebola outbreak last forever? -- Liz Szabo, USA TODAY
The worst case scenario for Ebola -- Julia Belluz, VOX

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