Why Ukraine’s Peace Plan Leaves The Door Open For A Winter Of Conflict -- Simon Shuster, Time
The peace process allows Russia to try a less violent means of keeping Ukraine dependent and divided — energy blackmail by shutting off its fuel supplies
The armistice in eastern Ukraine came like clockwork with the end of the summer fighting season, and both the government forces and the separatist rebels have taken it as a chance to entrench, consolidate their gains and make up for their losses. Even the separatist forces, who with the aid of Russia were on the offensive before the ceasefire took hold on Sept. 5, are playing along with the truce for now. But their leaders warn that this is only a breather between bouts.
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My Comment: I am one of those whose doubts are increasing. Aside from releasing some prisoners, there has been no talks, no mediation, no discussions for reconciliation. What has been happening on the ground are troop movements, threats, ceasefire violations, and a grim realization that the politicians in Kiev and the rebel movement are not interested in compromising and finding common ground for a reconciliation process.
Update: The Ukrainian Crisis is at a Point of No Return -- Alina Polyakova (National Interest)
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