Monday, September 8, 2014

U.K. In Panic Mode With Reports That A Majority Of Scots Now Favor Independence

Supporters Of Scottish Independence Take Narrow Poll Lead For First Time -- Reuters

(Reuters) - Supporters of Scottish independence from Britain have taken their first opinion poll lead since the referendum campaign began, indicating a real possibility that they might win, according to a YouGov survey for the Sunday Times newspaper.

With less than two weeks to go before the Sept. 18 vote, the poll put the "Yes" to independence campaign on 51 percent against "no" camp on 49 percent, overturning a 22-point lead for the unionist campaign in just a month, the Sunday Times said.

YouGov said that the results excluded those who would not vote and those who did not plan to vote or did not know how they would vote. With those groups included, secessionists would be on 47 percent and those championing the United Kingdom would be on 45 percent, it added.

Read more ....

Update #1: Pro-UK parties plan Scottish referendum fightback -- AFP
Update #2: UK In "Full Panic Mode", Rains Brimstone, Bribes On Scotland As "Yes" To Independence Poll Crosses 50% -- Zero Hedge

My Comment: These polls remind me of Quebec's vote for independence from Canada in 1995. At that time (a week before the vote) support for independence was in the majority (for decided voters), but on election day the majority of undecided swung to the NO side making up for the difference in a squeaker of a a vote (51% NO, 49% Yes).

Update: Here are two good articles on the Quebec referendum and what .

Scottish independence: Lessons to be learnt from 1995 Quebec campaign -- The Independent
Neverendum referendum: Voting on independence, Quebec-style -- BBC

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