Europe's Nightmare Could Still Come True: A NATO-Russia War Over Ukraine -- Dmitri Trenin, National Interest
Should the cease-fire be allowed to break down completely, the danger of a war in Ukraine will immediately reappear. Both sides must take urgent steps to avoid it.
Despite numerous violations, the cease-fire in Ukraine's Donbass region is largely holding. For very different reasons, President Petro Poroshenko of Ukraine and President Vladimir Putin of Russia have come to lead the parties of peace in their respective capitals. Economic issues clearly top the agenda in both Ukraine and Russia.
Yet, the cease-fire remains very brittle. The Donetsk airport and the city of Donetsk itself have seen some heavy fighting, with many civilian casualties. The parties of war on both sides of the front line have not given up their ambitious goals. Should the cease-fire be allowed to break down completely, the danger of a big war in Ukraine will immediately reappear.
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My Comment: Fortunately .... both Kiev and Moscow are now focusing their energies on economic issues. But the people in eastern Ukraine have a different set of priorities .... and for the moment it is a desire to continue the conflict. Fortunately ... both sides are too weak to make any headway .... but this permanent conflict with no resolution is not helpful either, and it will only create a generation of bitterness and division that will take even more generations to overcome.
2 comments:
I don't think I would put it quite that way,
"But the people in eastern Ukraine have a different set of priorities .... and for the moment it is a desire to continue the conflict. "
ATO Forces have withdrawn from some of the Cauldrons to the Ceasefire line in some places, and not, in others.
Nor have they stopped the indescriminant shelling of civillian areas.
Until they withdraw and stop the shelling, the LPA and DPA will keep grinding away at the "Cauldrons".
Its not good to start the war. Ukraine will immediately reappear. Both sides must take urgent steps to avoid the wars.
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