Friday, February 13, 2015

What Might A More Serious Conflict In Ukraine Look Like?



Jonathan Eya, CNN: Never-ending war: What might a more serious conflict in Ukraine look like?

A deal aimed at imposing a ceasefire in Ukraine from this Sunday was concluded following talks between the leaders of Russia, Ukraine, France and Germany. Yet despite 17 hours of talks in the Belarus capital of Minsk, during which President Vladimir Putin was seen breaking pencils on his desk in frustration, some of the agreement's most important provisions have yet to be clarified.

And although German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Francois Hollande proclaimed themselves satisfied with the deal, both should know the chances of a durable settlement remain slim.

WNU Editor: I am becoming more and more resigned to Ukraine becoming a failed and deeply divided state. I no longer have any confidence that a peaceful resolution will come out of this conflict .... too many people have died, and positions have hardened .... ultra-Ukrainian nationalists want to continue the war regardless of the consequences, and many pro-Russian supporters in the eastern part of the country do not want to be a part of Ukraine even if they get politically what they have been demanding since the start of this war. The country is also broke, the young all want to leave to Europe/North America/Australia .... and all the outside countries .... Russia, the U.S., eastern Europe .... they have all aggravated the situation further by pursuing policies and an agenda that does not take into consideration the tremendous suffering that is now occurring for millions of Ukrainians. My prediction for the future is the following .... the Minsk peace agreement is dead, the war is going to escalate, arms are going to flow into the country from all sides (as if all sides do not have enough weapons), more sanctions will be imposed against Russia, the utter implosion of the Ukraine economy resulting in millions wanting to leave, and casualty rates that will approach the tens of thousands. And in the end .... Ukraine will be split into two parts with the boundaries determined by military victories and defeats.

4 comments:

Jay Farquharson said...

WNU Editor,

My take on MinskII, is that it clear's the line on the " blame game".

- Russia is holding out peace, unity, all the Ukraine has to do is include the Eastern Ukraine and their economy.

-The US, via predominantly Yats, is holding fast to a military solution, with the end goal of either completely severing Ukraine/Russian ties, or if that fails, via the Nationalists, recreate for Russia, another Afghanistan.

- The EU position, seems now to be, the realization that they got suckered into a failing NeoCon project, and that Nuland's "Fuc€ the EU" comment was meant to be in a much broader context than just EuroMaiden.

The way I see it, is the ball is in the EU's court now.

"Sebastian" said...

Amazing, you and your pet Jay cant see that Russia is a part of the problem. No, its only the Ukraines fault... just like North Vietnams.

War News Updates Editor said...

Sebastien .... if you read my comment you will see that I am blaming everyone .... because everyone is to blame. But the ones who should be blamed the most are the Ukrainians themselves .... on both sides .... they have been fighting amongst themselves for generations and this is just a continuation of that conflict .... and the outside countries are just adding fuel to this fire for their own agendas.

Anonymous said...

Jay has it correct .. you Seb are wrong .. the Ukraine's and the west are lying war mongers .. plain and simple
............

"According to Ukraine and NATO, there are 5,000 Russian troops swarming Ukraine with more coming in every day.

Thus one might expect Senator Inhofe to have a basket of images to use as justification for US warmongering.

Instead, it turns out the pictures were fake. They show Russian troops in Georgia in 2008.

Read more at http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2015/02/senator-inhofe-sponsors-ukraine.html#KZ0KGX32YzcjmLa8.99