Robert J. Peters, The Diplomat/38 North: If North Korea Collapses, What Happens to Its WMDs?
Securing and eliminating North Korea’s nuclear, chemical, and biological weapons could be an insurmountable challenge.
This article was first published at 38 North, a blog of the U.S.-Korea Institute at Johns Hopkins SAIS. It is republished with kind permission.
North Korea’s weapons of mass destruction (WMD) pose a number of challenges, particularly how to find and secure those weapons if the regime collapses. This paper will look briefly at 1) North Korea’s nuclear, chemical and biological programs; 2) activities coalition forces might conduct in a collapse scenario; and 3) challenges posed by an operation to eliminate the North’s WMD.
WNU Editor: There is no good answer on what will happen to North Korea's WMDs in the event that the regime collapses for the simple reason that no one really knows.
4 comments:
China and Russia will go shopping, early to beat the crowds.
Decapitation is the best answer.
Decapitate the leadership and assume C3I.
What leadership you do not decapitate you suborn, threaten or work with because they are of another faction.
Stealth was created for a reason other than making people rich.
"Decapitation is the best answer."
Usually a good move, but with these people I don't know. Who is the leadership? Is it fat boy? I'm not so sure. I don't think they know who is really boss at the moment.
Decapitation.
Why? I do not want o grind through our young men or theirs.
1st I am concerned with ours.
If we could spare theirs too, excellent.
Ke-fu used condemned criminals as suicide troops.
(more or less a direct quotes)
"In 518 300 hundred were lined up and ordered to launch an attack against the other army before it deployed."
"The Yueh sent convicts in between the 2 armies fighting and ordered them to commit suicide at the battle at Tsui-le in 496." They won the battle.
I am not suggesting that we do the same. The latter story did make me think that maybe we could over awe the enemy into surrendering or at least a good portion. Gaddafi surrendered in 2003 (he gave up WMDs after he saw Saddam topple) and the ETA declared a ceasefire in 2001 (they thought we were serious after 911).
I don't think we have the reputation in the age of Obama, Kerry, Hillary Psaki, Harf,and Susan Rice.
My understanding is that there are "a 100 families", an oligarchy that is in charge.
I really do not care if big boy is not in charge and is just the public face. What I care about is the C3I. That and hopefully a few generals resist so that some colonels on down can see not only is HQ gone but that forces are behind them and among them and give up.
It is a pipe dream.
But I like it much better than some grindfest where you have to 'expend' every 20 year old to reach El Hefe (or the Junta) and end the war.
Having a film of Kony being captured kinetically but where a for some reason a special forces medic was unavailable would be a good start, but not sufficient. Of course that is cruel, but I suppose watching 200,000 die in camps in North Korea is acceptable. Maybe if it is possible to refine optics further (Not possible) we could have the satellites zoom in enough that we could put it on realty TV or pay per view. that would happen before people from top to bottom in the body politic would consider decapitation.
Big Boy is probably not in charge. He is probably the figure head for the nation and a faction.
It would be nice to give Big Boy the choice a Byzantine empire would offer. War or retirement. Some one ought to offer him an island in the Pacific or war and The Hague (well threatening the Hague will just make him laugh). they could tell The Survivor Show to find another island. I would consider it cheap to build Big Boy a mansion in exile (in a gilded prison), then to continue on as we have.
I think crazy or being a cowboy works much better with a certain type of people, then the hemming and hawing of process monkeys.
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