Thursday, June 11, 2015

The U.S. Prepares For A Long War In Iraq



Greg Jaffe and Missy Ryan, Washington Post: Obama’s new plan against ISIS signals that U.S. still in for a long war in Iraq

President Obama’s announcement Wednesday that he is sending 450 more military advisers to Iraq highlights the central dilemma of his faltering strategy there: how to shore up the country’s fragile government without being pulled more deeply into a war he never wanted.

With few good options, Obama’s plan amounts to a decision to stay the course.

Administration officials say the troop increase — the second since U.S. troops returned to Iraq last year — isn’t intended to produce quick battlefield victories.

Rather, the additional troops are being sent to aid Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi’s outreach to disaffected Sunnis and bolster the Iraqi army, whose feckless performance has left the Iraqi leader vulnerable to challenges from Shiite hard-liners more closely aligned with Iran. A weakened Abadi, U.S. officials fear, would strengthen the position of Shiite Iran, which has cast itself as Iraq’s only effective partner in a largely sectarian war with the Sunni-dominated Islamic State.

WNU Editor: The sectarian wars in the Middle East are conflicts that can potentially go on for generations. Sending in a few hundred US advisers to an Iraqi province will .... in the long run .... make very little (in any) difference. But if I was to sum up the current White House strategy, I would have to say that it is to .... (1) establish a status quo in Syria so that nothing changes (i.e. Assad's regime does not collapse to be replaced by radical Sunnis), (2) make sure that the Iraqi government does not collapse, (3) minimize the Iranian influence in both Syria and Iraq (which is impossible in my opinion), and (4) to keep the Islamic State from expanding. And while pursuing this policy .... minimize the U.S. involvement .... and more importantly .... hand it to the next administration before the entire thing collapses so that you do not get blame for it politically. My prediction .... this strategy is going to collapse .... and it will happen before the 2016 Presidential election.

5 comments:

Unknown said...

now forget about money been an issue why cant they do what they did in dday the amount of men,ships,armaments shipped for that was massive ,is still doable today if they wanted to win they could under usa looks like they want to spread it and extend for more war profits

Ropestuff said...

Maybe because Dday was monumentally expensive and it was required to get the boots on the ground. The Nazis were a clearly defined target that could be overpowered by strength and numbers. The target isn't so clearly defined now. We could expend monumental energy to get half the men in the USA to the Middle East and who is to say there would be anybody to fight. All they have to do is drop their guns, mingle back in with the crowds, and there would be no enemy to fight. It could end up being a monumental waste of resources. And, money IS an issue.

Unknown said...

some good points there but have t start somewhere irq first wipe em out close borders rebuild forces stop arming,training,funding them one step at time it can be done leave it too late they be swarming europe and then you know i was write back then

jimbrown said...

This is the worst case scenario. We're going in with too few soldiers in the event everything starts falling apart. I had a theory that the Shite militias would let ISIS attack US forces. With the report below, I guess it's now more than a theory. Our position in Baghdad is too exposed with a few special forces along with non-combat troops/advisers at the airport. This is not good, just a target.

Bob Huntley said...

Just a target, perhaps that's the strategy. Trying to create a Red Flag issue to get public support for an all out invasion?