Friday, February 26, 2016

How The West Misread Putin Over Syria

Russian President Vladimir Putin (R) shakes hands with Syrian President Bashar al-Assad during a meeting at the Kremlin in Moscow, Russia, in this October 20, 2015 file photo. REUTERS/Alexei Druzhinin/RIA Novosti/Kremlin/ Files

Reuters: The road to Aleppo: how the West misread Putin over Syria

Last July, Syrian President Bashar al-Assad seemed to be losing his battle against rebel forces. Speaking to supporters in Damascus, he acknowledged his army's heavy losses.

Western officials said the Syrian leader’s days were numbered and predicted he would soon be forced to the negotiating table.

It did not turn out that way. Secret preparations were already underway for a major deployment of Russian and Iranian forces in support of Assad.

The military intervention, taking many in the West by surprise, would roll back rebel gains. It would also accelerate two shifts in U.S. diplomacy: Washington would welcome Iran to the negotiating table over Syria, and it would no longer insist that Assad step down immediately.

"That involved swallowing some pride, to be honest, in acknowledging that this process would go nowhere unless you got Russia and Iran at the table," a U.S. official said.

Read more ....

WNU Editor: In hindsight .... there were many signs that the Russians/Iranians/Syrians were up to something. Political and military leaders were meeting, arms shipments were being stepped up, and concerns from Syrian President Assad, Russia, and Iran on the trends in the war were being blunt and very public .... in short .... they were telling their own domestic audience that something was being planned. My guess is that the West .... after reporting on the Syrian war for five years .... were sceptical that anything would change. Well .... they were wrong .... the situation on the ground has changed .... and I suspect that for the rest of 2016 we will be witnessing the fallout from this Russian decision to intervene directly in the Syrian war.

5 comments:

Don Bacon said...

Washington was taking pride in the overthrow of a legitimate government, which they have gotten away with in many countries, but this time Russia said nyet. That involved swallowing some pride, to be honest.

And still they prattle on in Washington about enforcing a "rules-based" regimen in a world where China and Russia don't do so, they claim. What a bunch of losers.

Don Bacon said...

Remember the US news media prattling over the cold shoulder Putin supposedly gave Assad on the latter's visit to Moscow, as in the photo above with the two at arms' length? (to mix a metaphor) .....Hah -- disinformation beautifully manged by Russia.

RRH said...

It's as Don says, especially the nyet part. A victory in Syria for the government and its allies will send ripples throughout the world. No longer will interventions, by proxy or otherwise, be tolerated. For "good" or "evil", a change is upon us. The best advice for the " west" is as the millstone said to the grain: Adjust.

Jay Farquharson said...

Russia did what they said they would do.

Washington refused to believe that Russia would do what Russia said they would do,

And Washington refused to believe that Russia's "Rust Bucket" Militaries small footprint intervention would have any sucess, because of the US Miliaries long history of massive interventions producing endless quagmires.

War News Updates Editor said...

Jay .... you summed it up perfectly.