Why Donald Trump Is Not Only On Course To Be The GOP Nominee, But Is On Course To The White House

Washington Post: Donald Trump is on course to win the 1,237 delegates he needs to be the GOP nominee

Presidential politics is, at its core, all about math. Nowhere is that more true than in the fight for delegates to this summer’s Republican National Convention. And, the delegate math is close to conclusive: Donald Trump will be extremely close to the 1,237 delegates he needs to formally claim the party’s nomination by the end of the primary process.

Let’s do the math — or, rather, let’s do the math forwarded to me by a Republican number-cruncher who counts himself as a card-carrying member of the Republican establishment but who also regards Trump’s nomination as nearly inevitable. (Sidenote: These are back-of-the-envelope calculations. Each state allocates delegates differently and so in order to understand the broad sweep of where the delegate count will end up, you have to make some rough assumptions. If you want detailed analysis of how each state does it, check out the invaluable FHQ site.)

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WNU Editor: With last night's convincing win in Nevada .... I do not know how his opponents can now stop him. The interesting thing about the Nevada Caucuses was the difference in turn out between Republicans and Democrats .... 6x more Republicans showed up than the Democrats, and Hillary Clinton's "win" was by only 641 votes in a state where she spent an enormous amount of money to get out her vote. (The Nevada caucuses numbers are here). This tells me that the momentum is clearly on the Republican side, and Hillary Clinton will have problems in motivating her own base. This (of course) may change in the months to come .... but a president Donald Trump may not be far-fetched as some would like to believe.