Tuesday, March 29, 2016

Stratfor's Second-Quarter Global Intelligence Forecast 2016

Stratfor: Global Intelligence, Second-Quarter Forecast 2016

OVERVIEW:

It's tempting to blame Syria for all the geopolitical intrigue that will characterize the second quarter of 2016. It is the scene of a protracted civil war, the source of Europe's migrant crisis and a major complication in Turkey's struggle with the Kurds. But in truth, Syria is merely a pawn in a larger game played by more powerful countries, each with its own designs in the Middle East.

Chief among them is Russia, which recently withdrew most of its troops from Syria. The military drawdown will not fundamentally alter the civil war, but it will certainly shape the political considerations of the countries invested in the conflict's outcome. Perhaps that was Moscow's intention all along.

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WNU Editor: No surprises in this analysis (from my vantage point).

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